PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

28.08.2026 19:15

Rio Ave

0 - 4

Sporting CP

Estádio do Rio Ave FC

Referee: Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa, Portugal

Rio Ave

Match Timeline

Sporting CP

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 53.3%

Odds 1.32

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75%

Odds 1.80

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds 1.50

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	53.3%	1.32	▥
BTTS	Yes	75%	1.80	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	1.50	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	76.7%	1.24	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	4.33	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	9.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Rio Ave Win 30.1%

Draw 16.7%

Sporting CP Win 53.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave1.43

Sporting CP2.54

Recent Form (Last 5)

Rio Ave

WWDLW

12 GF / 7 GA

Sporting CP

WLDWL

25 GF / 7 GA

Key Stats

1.71

Average Goals Scored

3.57

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rio Ave 7 matches

Sporting CP 7 matches

Rio Ave	Statistic	Sporting CP
4	Wins	6
1	Draws	1
2	Losses	0
12	Goals For	25
7	Goals Against	7
1.71	Avg Goals Scored	3.57
1	Avg Goals Conceded	1
3	BTTS Yes	5
6	Over 1.5	7
4	Over 2.5	6
2	Over 3.5	6
2	Clean Sheets	2
2	Failed To Score	0
2	Shots On Goal	6
7.33	Total Shots	11.67
3.67	Corners	4
43.3%	Ball Possession	57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave won 1 times, Sporting CP won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:34 from Rio Ave's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)

Predicted formations: Rio Ave 4-2-3-1 / Sporting CP 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Rio Ave wins 1, draws 3, Sporting CP wins 11

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18:3	15	21	W W W W W
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16	L W W W W
3	Sporting CP Away	7	4	3	0	17:8	9	15	D D W W W
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11:4	7	15	D W W D W
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11	D L D W L
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7:5	2	11	D W L W W
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9:9	0	11	W W W L D
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14:14	0	10	L D W D W
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8	D L L D W
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8	W W L D L
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8:12	-4	8	D L L L D
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8:14	-6	8	D W L L W
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	2	7	W D D D L
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5	D L D L W
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4	L L L L L
16	Rio Ave Home	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4	L D L L W
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3:16	-13	4	W L D L L
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3:10	-7	2	L L D L L