Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
69.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
23.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
26%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rio Ave
32 matches
Sporting CP
44 matches
| Rio Ave | Statistic | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 29 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 13 | Losses | 6 |
| 33 | Goals For | 104 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.36 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 39 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 31 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.91 | Shots On Goal | 6.41 |
| 10.53 | Total Shots | 16.39 |
| 4.38 | Corners | 6.27 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 58.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sporting CP's more proactive style and Rio Ave's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sporting CP. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Sporting CP carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 76 points while Rio Ave sit 12 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Rio Ave sit 12 with 35 points after 32 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 33:52 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Clayton (10 goals), Andre Luiz (7 goals), J. Blesa (6 goals), with creative support from Andre Luiz (5 assists), Clayton (4 assists), D. Spikic (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 3 with 76 points from 32 outings, Sporting CP continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 23 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 82:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Suarez (26 goals), P. Goncalves (13 goals), D. Braganca (6 goals), with creative support from Trincao (11 assists), P. Goncalves (7 assists), L. Suarez (6 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 11 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave won 1 times, Sporting CP won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:34 from Rio Ave's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Rio Ave
3
5
6
6
3
5
Lineups
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
AVS
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Alverca
Rio Ave
Estoril
Rio Ave
Estrela
Rio Ave
Tondela
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Rio Ave
FC Porto
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Rio Ave
SC Braga
Rio Ave
Arouca
Rio Ave
Nacional
Rio Ave
Benfica
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Tondela
Sporting CP
AVS
Sporting CP
Benfica
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Estrela
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Alverca
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Sporting CP
Estoril
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Sporting CP
Famalicao
Sporting CP
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Nacional
Sporting CP
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Arouca
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
AVS
Rio Ave
Alverca
Rio Ave
Estrela
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Rio Ave
Arouca
Rio Ave
Benfica
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Estoril
Rio Ave
Tondela
Rio Ave
FC Porto
Rio Ave
SC Braga
Rio Ave
Nacional
Sporting CP
AVS
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Estrela
Sporting CP
Alverca
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Sporting CP
Moreirense
Sporting CP
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Arouca
Sporting CP
GIL Vicente
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Bayern München
Sporting CP
Benfica
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Juventus
Sporting CP
Tondela
Sporting CP
Napoli
Sporting CP
Estoril
Sporting CP
Famalicao
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Sporting CP
Away
|
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Rio Ave
Home
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|