Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Rio Ave Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Ave1.58
Nacional1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Ave
WWDLW
12 GF / 7 GA
Nacional
WLDWL
9 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
2
Shots on Goal
2.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rio Ave
7 matches
Nacional
8 matches
| Rio Ave | Statistic | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 12 | Goals For | 9 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 2.33 |
| 7.33 | Total Shots | 12.33 |
| 3.67 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 43% | Ball Possession | 53.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave won 7 times, Nacional won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from Rio Ave's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Rio Ave 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Rio Ave wins 7, draws 5, Nacional wins 3
Last matches: Rio Ave
22.08.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
0
W
15.08.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
2
D
15.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Portimonense
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Arouca
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Vitória SC
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
Last matches: Nacional
23.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
0
1
L
16.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
2
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
H2H: Rio Ave vs Nacional
25.01.26
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
L
17.08.25
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
10.05.25
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
3
3
D
29.12.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
2
1
W
31.07.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
10.04.22
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
2
0
L
28.11.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
0
W
19.05.21
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
2
W
05.02.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
0
D
17.03.19
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
1
W
05.11.18
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
3
3
D
29.04.17
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
2
W
18.12.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
2
1
W
13.03.16
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
0
L
01.11.15
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
0
W
Last matches: Rio Ave
15.08.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Arouca
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
0
2
L
04.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
3
1
W
13.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Vitória SC
0
1
L
30.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
0
4
L
05.10.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
0
W
19.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
3
L
31.08.25
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
2
2
D
H2H at home: Rio Ave
17.08.25
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
29.12.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
2
1
W
31.07.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
28.11.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
0
W
05.02.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
0
D
05.11.18
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
3
3
D
18.12.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
2
1
W
01.11.15
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
0
W
Last matches: Nacional
23.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
0
1
L
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
02.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
1
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
Nacional
AVS
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
2
0
W
H2H away: Nacional
17.08.25
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
29.12.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
2
1
L
31.07.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
28.11.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
0
L
05.02.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
0
D
05.11.18
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
3
3
D
18.12.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
2
1
L
01.11.15
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
0
L