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15.08.2026 19:30
Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Referee: M. Fonseca
Rio Ave
Match Timeline
FC Porto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
N. Perez · Assist: G. Veiga
FC Porto
VAR
34'
Jakub Kiwior
FC Porto
🔄
59'
R. Galcik ↔ D. Spikic
Rio Ave
🔄
66'
D. Gul ↔ Hwang In-Beom
FC Porto
🔄
66'
William Gomes ↔ B. Sainz
FC Porto
🔄
69'
N. Perez ↔ A. Costa
FC Porto
🔄
69'
G. Veiga ↔ Andre Silva
FC Porto
🔄
75'
F. Petrasso ↔ J. Lomboto
Rio Ave
🔄
75'
Tamble ↔ M. Vrousai
Rio Ave
⚽
82'
B. Sainz · Assist: Hwang In-Beom
FC Porto
🔄
83'
G. Liavas ↔ M. Patricio
Rio Ave
🔄
83'
D. Nascimento ↔ S. Alves
Rio Ave
🔄
89'
Pepê ↔ S. Eustaquio
FC Porto

Rio Ave vs FC Porto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rio Ave Win 48.8%
Draw 17.4%
FC Porto Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Ave1.47
FC Porto1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Ave Rio Ave
L W D W W
10 GF / 5 GA
FC Porto FC Porto
W W L
4 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
3
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
1
2
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rio Ave Rio Ave 5 matches
FC Porto FC Porto 3 matches
Rio Ave Statistic FC Porto
3 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
10 Goals For 4
5 Goals Against 2
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
3 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 2
4 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
2 Shots On Goal 3
6 Total Shots 9
2 Corners 7
37% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave won 1 times, FC Porto won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:24 from Rio Ave's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.6%)
Predicted formations: Rio Ave 4-3-3 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: Rio Ave wins 1, draws 4, FC Porto wins 10

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 10 0 0 25:4 21 30
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 27:8 19 25
W W W L W
3 10 6 3 1 23:11 12 21
W L W D D
4 10 6 3 1 15:6 9 21
W L W D W
5 10 6 2 2 13:7 6 20
W W W D L
6 10 6 2 2 15:12 3 20
W W W W W
7 10 4 3 3 8:7 1 15
D L W W D
8 10 4 2 4 12:11 1 14
W L L L D
9 10 4 2 4 13:17 -4 14
W W L D W
10 10 3 2 5 13:14 -1 11
L L W W W
11 10 2 4 4 14:14 0 10
L W L W D
12 10 2 4 4 15:19 -4 10
L L L L D
13 10 2 3 5 10:10 0 9
D W L D L
14 10 2 2 6 9:21 -12 8
L L L D L
15 10 2 1 7 10:19 -9 7
L W L L L
16 10 2 1 7 9:23 -14 7
L L W L D
17 10 2 1 7 5:19 -14 7
L W L W L
18 10 0 2 8 5:19 -14 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2