PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
06.12.2026 16:00

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Rio Ave Win 0%
Draw 0%
Casa Pia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Ave1.75
Casa Pia0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Ave Rio Ave
WWDLW
12 GF / 15 GA
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WLDWL
4 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
2.38
3
BTTS Yes
2
6
Over 2.5
3
1.8
Shots on Goal
2.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rio Ave Rio Ave 9 matches
Casa Pia Casa Pia 8 matches
Rio Ave Statistic Casa Pia
4 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 6
12 Goals For 4
15 Goals Against 19
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2.38
3 BTTS Yes 2
8 Over 1.5 4
6 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 6
1.8 Shots On Goal 2.2
6.6 Total Shots 9.2
3 Corners 4
42% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave won 5 times, Casa Pia won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Rio Ave's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Rio Ave 4-2-3-1 / Casa Pia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rio Ave wins 5, draws 4, Casa Pia wins 2

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 11:1 10 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 14:5 9 13
W W W W D
3 5 3 2 0 9:3 6 11
W D W W D
4 4 3 1 0 14:3 11 10
W W W D
5 5 3 1 1 7:3 4 10
D W L W W
6 4 2 1 1 3:1 2 7
L D W W
7 3 2 1 0 5:3 2 7
W W D
8 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L L D W W
9 4 1 3 0 9:8 1 6
D W D D
10 5 1 2 2 5:8 -3 5
W L D L D
11 5 1 1 3 3:5 -2 4
D L W L L
12 5 1 1 3 6:8 -2 4
L L L W D
13 4 1 1 2 4:8 -4 4
L W L D
14 5 0 3 2 4:6 -2 3
D D L L D
15 5 1 0 4 2:11 -9 3
L L W L L
16 5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
D L L L D
17 5 0 2 3 5:10 -5 2
L D L D L
18 5 0 1 4 0:11 -11 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2