LATVIA › VIRSLIGA
25.05.2026 16:00
LNK Sporta Parks
Referee: I. Purins
Rīgas FS
Match Timeline
Tukums
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
D. Lemajic · Assist: R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
⚽
22'
I. Baturins
Rīgas FS
🔄
37'
L. Odisharia ↔ M. Talla
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
R. Kirss ↔ R. Baumanis
Tukums
🟨
51'
R. Baumanis
Tukums
⚽
60'
E. Oloko
Tukums
🟨
63'
M. Kigurs
Rīgas FS
🟨
63'
K. Dislers
Tukums
⚽
65'
Z. Lipuscek · Assist: R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
🔄
69'
R. Melkis ↔ D. Valmiers
Tukums
🔄
75'
M. Kigurs ↔ N. Dusalijevs
Rīgas FS
🟨
76'
A. Kouadio
Rīgas FS
🟨
83'
M. Talla
Rīgas FS
🔄
88'
B. Samoilovs ↔ K. Klavins
Tukums

Rīgas FS vs Tukums Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rīgas FS Win 77.7%
Draw 0%
Tukums Win 22.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rīgas FS2.09
Tukums1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WWDLW
60 GF / 23 GA
Tukums Tukums
WLDWL
33 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
2.31
Average Goals Scored
1.94
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
11
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 26 matches
Tukums Tukums 17 matches
Rīgas FS Statistic Tukums
20 Wins 2
4 Draws 9
2 Losses 6
60 Goals For 33
23 Goals Against 30
2.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
11 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 8
13 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rīgas FS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 34 points compared to Tukums in 7 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tukums having the stronger overall control. Rīgas FS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tukums. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 34 points after 13 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 29:9 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on S. Panic (6 goals), J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), D. Lemajic (4 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (4 assists), J. Ikaunieks (3 assists), L. Odisharia (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Tukums Analysis

Tukums sit 7 with 13 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 27:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Oloko (12 goals), R. Deruzinskis (6 goals), Leoni (4 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (6 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (2 assists), R. Baumanis (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rīgas FS won 15 times, Tukums won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 59:16 from Rīgas FS's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1 / Tukums 3-5-2
H2H summary: Rīgas FS wins 15, draws 0, Tukums wins 0

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 23 5 2 71:22 49 74
D W D W D
2 31 22 7 2 86:30 56 73
W W D D L
3 31 18 7 6 49:30 19 61
D W D W D
4 31 12 7 12 41:43 -2 43
D D D W L
5 31 10 9 12 35:35 0 39
D L D L D
6 30 10 5 15 29:40 -11 35
L L W W D
7 31 8 8 15 32:49 -17 32
L D L W W
8 31 5 11 15 21:52 -31 26
D D L W L
9 31 5 9 17 44:61 -17 24
D L W L L
10 31 4 6 21 30:76 -46 18
W L D L L