Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rīgas FS
26 matches
Tukums
17 matches
| Rīgas FS | Statistic | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 9 |
| 2 | Losses | 6 |
| 60 | Goals For | 33 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 2.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rīgas FS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 34 points compared to Tukums in 7 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tukums having the stronger overall control. Rīgas FS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tukums. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Rīgas FS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 34 points after 13 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 29:9 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on S. Panic (6 goals), J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), D. Lemajic (4 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (4 assists), J. Ikaunieks (3 assists), L. Odisharia (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Tukums sit 7 with 13 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 27:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Oloko (12 goals), R. Deruzinskis (6 goals), Leoni (4 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (6 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (2 assists), R. Baumanis (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rīgas FS won 15 times, Tukums won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 59:16 from Rīgas FS's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.
Lineups
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
FK Jablonec
Rīgas FS
Vestri
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Vestri
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Riga
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Vestri
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Riga
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
Rīgas FS
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Rīgas FS
TransINVEST Vilnius
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Panevėžys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rīgas FS
Home
|
25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 62:17 | 45 | 65 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 64 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:47 | -29 | 21 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Away
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 20 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | -41 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|