LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass
Referee: I. Purins
Rīgas FS
Match Timeline
Super Nova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
A. Grikovs
Super Nova
🟨
29'
S. Rakic
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
R. Savalnieks ↔ M. Kigurs
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
S. Rakic ↔ M. Saidy
Rīgas FS
48'
J. Ikaunieks · Assist: D. Lemajic
Rīgas FS
🔄
60'
E. Emsis ↔ K. Skadmanis
Super Nova
🔄
60'
S. Diallo Ndiaye ↔ G. Bombans
Super Nova
🔄
60'
V. Lizunovs ↔ N. Pathe
Super Nova
🟨
61'
N. Barkovskis
Super Nova
🟨
63'
M. Oss
Super Nova
65'
Z. Lipuscek · Assist: A. Filipovic
Rīgas FS
🔄
67'
D. Lemajic ↔ G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
🟨
74'
M. Tihonovics
Super Nova
🔄
77'
A. Grikovs ↔ M. Vasilevskis
Super Nova
🔄
77'
A. Glaudans ↔ Bamba
Super Nova
🔄
80'
I. Diomande ↔ A. Kouadio
Rīgas FS
🔄
81'
S. Panic ↔ H. Njie
Rīgas FS
🟨
90'
A. Filipovic
Rīgas FS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Rīgas FS Win 70%
Draw 0%
Super Nova Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rīgas FS1.92
Super Nova1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WWDLW
37 GF / 17 GA
Super Nova Super Nova
WLDWL
14 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
9
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 18 matches
Super Nova Super Nova 10 matches
Rīgas FS Statistic Super Nova
13 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
37 Goals For 14
17 Goals Against 17
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
9 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 8
9 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rīgas FS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 15 points compared to Super Nova in 5 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Super Nova having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Super Nova. Rīgas FS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 15 points after 6 matches. With 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:2, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by S. Panic (3 goals), D. Lemajic (2 goals), J. Ikaunieks (2 goals), with creative support from L. Odisharia (3 assists), J. Ikaunieks (1 assists), A. Kouadio (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Super Nova Analysis

Super Nova come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 10 points after 6 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Oss (3 goals), A. Glaudans (1 goals), I. Ndiaye (1 goals), with creative support from Facu (3 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), N. Pathe (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rīgas FS won 14 times, Super Nova won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 53:12 from Rīgas FS's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1 / Super Nova 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rīgas FS wins 14, draws 0, Super Nova wins 1

Lineups

Rīgas FS
Formation
Super Nova
M. Maric
M. Maric
A. Filipovic
🎯
A. Filipovic
H. Prenga
H. Prenga
Z. Lipuscek
Z. Lipuscek
D. Zelenkovs
D. Zelenkovs
R. Savalnieks
R. Savalnieks
S. Panic
S. Panic
S. Rakic
S. Rakic
I. Diomande
I. Diomande
J. Ikaunieks
J. Ikaunieks
D. Lemajic
🎯
D. Lemajic
D. Veisbuks
D. Veisbuks
M. Tihonovics
M. Tihonovics
M. Oss
M. Oss
L. Berzins
L. Berzins
A. Grikovs
A. Grikovs
R. Sitjakovs
R. Sitjakovs
S. Diallo Ndiaye
S. Diallo Ndiaye
E. Emsis
E. Emsis
N. Barkovskis
N. Barkovskis
A. Glaudans
A. Glaudans
V. Lizunovs
V. Lizunovs
Rīgas FS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
M. Maric
6
A. Filipovic
🎯 65' 🟨 90'
23
H. Prenga
43
Z. Lipuscek
⚽ 65'
18
D. Zelenkovs
11
R. Savalnieks
↓ 46'
26
S. Panic
↓ 81'
81
S. Rakic
↓ 46' 🟨 29'
7
I. Diomande
↓ 80'
10
J. Ikaunieks
⚽ 48'
22
D. Lemajic
🎯 48' ↓ 67'
Substitutes
16
J. Nerugals
77
G. Mankenda
↑ 67'
17
A. Kouadio
↑ 80'
5
N. Sliede
4
R. Veips
49
M. Kigurs
↑ 46'
70
M. Talla
30
H. Njie
↑ 81'
66
M. Saidy
↑ 46'
Super Nova 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
90
D. Veisbuks
21
M. Tihonovics
🟨 74'
25
M. Oss
🟨 63'
4
L. Berzins
19
A. Grikovs
↓ 77' 🟨 3'
24
R. Sitjakovs
28
S. Diallo Ndiaye
↓ 60'
6
E. Emsis
↓ 60'
23
N. Barkovskis
🟨 61'
7
A. Glaudans
↓ 77'
10
V. Lizunovs
↓ 60'
Substitutes
31
T. Petrovics
18
M. Vasilevskis
↑ 77'
5
J. Cirulis
22
K. Skadmanis
↑ 60'
3
R. Iida
17
G. Bombans
↑ 60'
27
N. Pathe
↑ 60'
9
Bamba
↑ 77'
20
I. Ndiaye
Last matches: Rīgas FS
23.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
4
1
W
20.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
04.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
22.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
Last matches: Super Nova
20.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
06.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
1
2
L
01.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
25.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
5
L
21.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
29.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
H2H: Rīgas FS vs Super Nova
29.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
W
18.04.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
14.01.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
2
W
02.11.25
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
3
W
10.08.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
4
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
20.04.25
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
W
11.01.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
7
0
W
05.11.23
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
4
W
13.08.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
0
W
04.06.23
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
6
W
24.04.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
23.10.22
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
4
W
07.08.22
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
3
L
23.05.22
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
3
W
Last matches: Rīgas FS
23.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
4
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
0
W
04.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
22.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
06.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
4
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
4
2
W
28.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
2
W
14.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
2
W
28.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
2
2
D
06.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
KuPS
1
2
L
H2H at home: Rīgas FS
18.04.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
14.01.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
2
W
10.08.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
4
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
11.01.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
7
0
W
13.08.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
0
W
24.04.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
07.08.22
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
3
L
Last matches: Super Nova
01.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
08.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Paide
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Trans Narva
3
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
2
5
L
H2H away: Super Nova
18.04.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
L
14.01.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
2
L
10.08.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
4
1
L
14.06.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
L
11.01.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
7
0
L
13.08.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
0
L
24.04.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
L
07.08.22
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
3
W

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 19 2 2 55:16 39 59
W D W W W
2 23 18 4 1 68:20 48 58
W W W D W
3 22 12 4 6 37:26 11 40
D L D W L
4 23 8 6 9 29:29 0 30
W W L D W
5 22 8 4 10 28:34 -6 28
L W L L L
6 23 8 3 12 25:35 -10 27
W L W L L
7 23 6 7 10 24:39 -15 25
L L W W W
8 23 4 8 11 15:35 -20 20
L W L D L
9 23 3 8 12 38:47 -9 17
L L L L L
10 23 3 4 16 21:59 -38 13
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga