LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass
Referee: A. Treimanis
Rīgas FS
Match Timeline
Riga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
I. Diomande
Rīgas FS
13'
J. Ikaunieks · Assist: R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
16'
I. Diomande · Assist: J. Ikaunieks
Rīgas FS
🟨
22'
B. Musah
Riga
38'
R. Varslavans
Riga
🟨
41'
H. Njie
Rīgas FS
🟨
57'
R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
🔄
58'
I. Diomande ↔ S. Rakic
Rīgas FS
63'
M. Badamosi · Assist: Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
65'
D. Zelenkovs · Assist: A. Filipovic
Rīgas FS
🟨
69'
S. Panic
Rīgas FS
🟨
72'
A. Cernomordijs
Riga
🔄
75'
Reginaldo Ramires ↔ Caio Ferreira
Riga
🔄
81'
R. Varslavans ↔ S. Oulad M'Hand
Riga
🔄
81'
A. Ankrah ↔ Juan Christian
Riga
🔄
85'
A. Kouadio ↔ D. Lemajic
Rīgas FS
🔄
86'
M. Saidy ↔ G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
87'
Caio Ferreira · Assist: O. Galo
Riga
🟨
90'
Paulo Eduardo
Riga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT 1-1
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rīgas FS Win 39.9%
Draw 13.5%
Riga Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rīgas FS1.71
Riga2.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WWDLW
40 GF / 17 GA
Riga Riga
WLDWL
43 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.87
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
9
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 20 matches
Riga Riga 15 matches
Rīgas FS Statistic Riga
15 Wins 10
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
40 Goals For 43
17 Goals Against 19
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.87
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
9 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Riga. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Riga having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 21 points from 8 games, Rīgas FS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 13:3 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on D. Lemajic (3 goals), J. Ikaunieks (3 goals), S. Panic (3 goals), with creative support from L. Odisharia (3 assists), D. Lemajic (1 assists), J. Ikaunieks (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Riga Analysis

Riga come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 19 points after 8 matches. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:9, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Badamosi (6 goals), Iago Siqueira (5 goals), Reginaldo Ramires (5 goals), with creative support from A. Salazar (5 assists), Reginaldo Ramires (4 assists), L. Odisharia (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rīgas FS won 4 times, Riga won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from Rīgas FS's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1 / Riga 3-5-2
H2H summary: Rīgas FS wins 4, draws 7, Riga wins 4

Lineups

Rīgas FS
Formation
Riga
M. Maric
M. Maric
H. Njie
H. Njie
Z. Lipuscek
Z. Lipuscek
A. Filipovic
🎯
A. Filipovic
R. Savalnieks
🎯
R. Savalnieks
M. Saidy
M. Saidy
S. Panic
S. Panic
D. Zelenkovs
D. Zelenkovs
J. Ikaunieks
🎯
J. Ikaunieks
I. Diomande
I. Diomande
A. Kouadio
A. Kouadio
K. Zviedris
K. Zviedris
R. Jurkovskis
R. Jurkovskis
A. Cernomordijs
A. Cernomordijs
B. Musah
B. Musah
Paulo Eduardo
Paulo Eduardo
A. Ankrah
A. Ankrah
R. Varslavans
R. Varslavans
Iago Siqueira
Iago Siqueira
O. Galo
🎯
O. Galo
Reginaldo Ramires
🎯
Reginaldo Ramires
M. Badamosi
M. Badamosi
Rīgas FS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
M. Maric
30
H. Njie
🟨 41'
43
Z. Lipuscek
6
A. Filipovic
🎯 65'
11
R. Savalnieks
🎯 13' 🟨 57'
66
M. Saidy
↓ 86'
26
S. Panic
🟨 69'
18
D. Zelenkovs
⚽ 65'
10
J. Ikaunieks
⚽ 13' 🎯 16'
7
I. Diomande
⚽ 16' ↓ 58' 🟨 8'
17
A. Kouadio
↓ 85'
Substitutes
16
J. Nerugals
22
D. Lemajic
↑ 85'
23
H. Prenga
77
G. Mankenda
↑ 86'
5
N. Sliede
4
R. Veips
49
M. Kigurs
70
M. Talla
81
S. Rakic
↑ 58'
Riga 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
K. Zviedris
13
R. Jurkovskis
34
A. Cernomordijs
🟨 72'
21
B. Musah
🟨 22'
33
Paulo Eduardo
🟨 90'
40
A. Ankrah
↓ 81'
14
R. Varslavans
⚽ 38' ↓ 81'
8
Iago Siqueira
4
O. Galo
🎯 87'
10
Reginaldo Ramires
🎯 63' ↓ 75'
19
M. Badamosi
⚽ 63'
Substitutes
91
F. Orols
44
M. Kazainis
18
S. Oulad M'Hand
↑ 81'
99
Caio Ferreira
⚽ 87' ↑ 75'
5
K. Wassom
70
Juan Christian
↑ 81'
22
M. Diop
11
B. Pena
3
Abner
Last matches: Rīgas FS
23.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
4
1
W
20.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
04.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
22.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
Last matches: Riga
22.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
3
2
W
18.07.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
H2H: Rīgas FS vs Riga
17.06.26
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
L
28.04.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
07.11.25
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
4
W
25.09.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
0
D
18.06.25
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
1
L
26.04.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
1
L
01.03.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
1
W
10.11.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
23.09.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
2
1
W
25.08.24
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
0
0
D
16.06.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
2
2
D
27.04.24
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
1
2
W
25.10.23
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
16.09.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
Last matches: Rīgas FS
23.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
4
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
0
W
04.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
22.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
06.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
4
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
4
2
W
28.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
2
W
14.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
2
W
28.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
2
2
D
06.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
KuPS
1
2
L
H2H at home: Rīgas FS
28.04.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
25.09.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
0
D
26.04.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
1
L
01.03.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
1
W
10.11.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
23.09.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
2
1
W
16.06.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
2
2
D
16.09.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
0
D
Last matches: Riga
22.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Riga
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
1
W
07.03.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.02.26
Fri
Riga
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Riga
Dubai United
2
1
W
21.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Riga
Dila
3
3
D
H2H away: Riga
28.04.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
25.09.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
0
D
26.04.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
1
L
10.11.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
W
23.09.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
2
1
L
16.06.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
2
2
D
16.09.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
0
D