LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
LNK Sporta Parks
Referee: D. Kozlovs
Rīgas FS
Match Timeline
Ogre United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
M. Kigurs · Assist: D. Zelenkovs
Rīgas FS
🔄
12'
M. Ivulans ↔ R. Aditajs
Ogre United
21'
A. Filipovic
Rīgas FS
32'
D. Lemajic · Assist: M. Kigurs
Rīgas FS
🟨
46'
M. Kalnins
Ogre United
🔄
46'
A. Filipovic ↔ R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
D. Sedols ↔ K. Kumakura
Ogre United
54'
D. Lemajic · Assist: R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
🔄
55'
K. Johnson ↔ V. Mashchenko
Ogre United
🔄
55'
M. Kalnins ↔ H. Silagailis
Ogre United
🔄
58'
D. Zelenkovs ↔ G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
🔄
58'
Z. Lipuscek ↔ N. Sliede
Rīgas FS
🟨
63'
K. Hayashi
Ogre United
🟨
67'
H. Silagailis
Ogre United
🔄
72'
M. Kigurs ↔ I. Diomande
Rīgas FS
🔄
73'
D. Lemajic ↔ A. Kouadio
Rīgas FS
🔄
75'
E. Evelons ↔ E. Sprukts
Ogre United
🟨
80'
T. Marusiy
Ogre United
89'
I. Diomande · Assist: M. Talla
Rīgas FS
90'
I. Diomande
Rīgas FS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
67.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rīgas FS Win 88%
Draw 6%
Ogre United Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rīgas FS2.28
Ogre United0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WWDLW
69 GF / 28 GA
Ogre United Ogre United
WLDWL
17 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
0.85
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
15
BTTS Yes
13
18
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 30 matches
Ogre United Ogre United 20 matches
Rīgas FS Statistic Ogre United
23 Wins 1
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 15
69 Goals For 17
28 Goals Against 45
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25
15 BTTS Yes 13
23 Over 1.5 17
18 Over 2.5 10
13 Over 3.5 7
13 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rīgas FS's more proactive style and Ogre United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ogre United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ogre United having the stronger overall control. Rīgas FS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 46 points compared to Ogre United in 10 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Rīgas FS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 46 points after 17 outings. With 15 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 41:12, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Lemajic (8 goals), S. Panic (7 goals), J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (7 assists), M. Saidy (4 assists), L. Odisharia (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ogre United Analysis

Ogre United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 4 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats with a 14:42 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Cudars (5 goals), E. Evelons (2 goals), K. Johnson (2 goals), with creative support from K. Cudars (1 assists), M. Kalnins (1 assists), M. Pacepko (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Rīgas FS won 3 times, Ogre United won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:3 from Rīgas FS's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: Rīgas FS wins 3, draws 0, Ogre United wins 0

Lineups

Rīgas FS
Formation
Ogre United
J. Nerugals
J. Nerugals
A. Filipovic
A. Filipovic
H. Prenga
H. Prenga
Z. Lipuscek
Z. Lipuscek
S. Kumater
S. Kumater
S. Rakic
S. Rakic
M. Talla
🎯
M. Talla
D. Zelenkovs
🎯
D. Zelenkovs
M. Saidy
M. Saidy
M. Kigurs
🎯
M. Kigurs
D. Lemajic
⚽ 2
D. Lemajic
K. Biscuhis
K. Biscuhis
M. Lormanis
M. Lormanis
T. Marusiy
T. Marusiy
M. Marusii
M. Marusii
D. Vejkrigers
D. Vejkrigers
K. Hayashi
K. Hayashi
K. Johnson
K. Johnson
D. Sedols
D. Sedols
E. Evelons
E. Evelons
M. Ivulans
M. Ivulans
M. Kalnins
M. Kalnins
Rīgas FS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
J. Nerugals
6
A. Filipovic
⚽ 21' ↓ 46'
23
H. Prenga
43
Z. Lipuscek
↓ 58'
99
S. Kumater
81
S. Rakic
70
M. Talla
🎯 89'
18
D. Zelenkovs
🎯 9' ↓ 58'
66
M. Saidy
49
M. Kigurs
⚽ 9' 🎯 32' ↓ 72'
22
D. Lemajic
⚽ 32' ⚽ 54' ↓ 73'
Substitutes
40
A. Kuprins
11
R. Savalnieks
🎯 54' ↑ 46'
26
S. Panic
77
G. Mankenda
↑ 58'
17
A. Kouadio
↑ 73'
5
N. Sliede
↑ 58'
4
R. Veips
7
I. Diomande
⚽ 89' ⚽ 90' ↑ 72'
30
H. Njie
Ogre United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
20
K. Biscuhis
37
M. Lormanis
3
T. Marusiy
🟨 80'
77
M. Marusii
6
D. Vejkrigers
5
K. Hayashi
🟨 63'
47
K. Johnson
↓ 55'
28
D. Sedols
↓ 46'
18
E. Evelons
↓ 75'
21
M. Ivulans
↓ 12'
10
M. Kalnins
↓ 55' 🟨 46'
Substitutes
1
N. Parfjonovs
13
K. Gulbis
14
R. Aditajs
↑ 12'
8
T. Mickevics
7
K. Kumakura
↑ 46'
17
V. Mashchenko
↑ 55'
9
H. Silagailis
↑ 55' 🟨 67'
11
M. Pacepko
23
E. Sprukts
↑ 75'
Last matches: Rīgas FS
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
04.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
Last matches: Ogre United
06.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
2
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
26.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
3
2
W
17.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
1
4
L
30.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
02.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
27.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
22.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
0
4
L
17.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
1
1
D
13.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
07.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
03.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
15.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
1
D
H2H: Rīgas FS vs Ogre United
22.06.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
02.05.26
H2H
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
W
06.03.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
Last matches: Rīgas FS
04.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
06.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
4
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
4
2
W
28.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
2
W
14.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
2
W
28.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
2
2
D
06.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
KuPS
1
2
L
22.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Malmo FF
1
4
L
15.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rīgas FS
22.06.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
06.03.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
Last matches: Ogre United
06.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
2
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
17.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
30.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
0
2
L
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
22.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
0
4
L
07.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
06.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
H2H away: Ogre United
22.06.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
L
06.03.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
L

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 18 2 2 54:16 38 56
D W W W L
2 22 17 4 1 65:19 46 55
W W D W W
3 22 12 4 6 37:26 11 40
D L D W L
4 22 8 4 10 28:34 -6 28
L W L L L
5 22 7 6 9 25:29 -4 27
W L D W D
6 22 6 7 9 24:38 -14 25
L W W W L
7 22 7 3 12 23:35 -12 24
L W L L D
8 22 4 8 10 15:33 -18 20
W L D L W
9 22 3 8 11 37:44 -7 17
L L L L W
10 22 3 4 15 21:55 -34 13
W L W L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga