LATVIA VIRSLIGA
10.08.2026 16:30
LNK Sporta Parks
Referee: S. Vasjkovs
Rīgas FS
Match Timeline
Grobiņa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
I. Matyushenko
Grobiņa
11'
S. Panic
Rīgas FS
28'
R. Ndjiki · Assist: M. Saidy
Rīgas FS
🔄
29'
S. Panic ↔ S. Rakic
Rīgas FS
36'
A. Balde · Assist: M. Sylla
Rīgas FS
45'
A. Filipovic · Assist: S. Rakic
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
R. Ndjiki ↔ N. Dusalijevs
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
A. Filipovic ↔ D. Korac
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
A. Aruna ↔ A. Baydal
Grobiņa
53'
J. Ikaunieks
Rīgas FS
🔄
60'
A. Balde ↔ G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
🔄
60'
J. Ribeiro ↔ O. Rascevskis
Grobiņa
🔄
60'
M. Corryn ↔ H. Yamada
Grobiņa
🔄
64'
I. Matyushenko ↔ A. Zjuzins
Grobiņa
66'
O. Olatunde-Matthew · Assist: Dodo
Grobiņa
🟨
69'
O. Olatunde-Matthew
Grobiņa
75'
D. Korac
Rīgas FS
🔄
76'
J. Ikaunieks ↔ L. Odisharia
Rīgas FS
🔄
78'
A. Puzirevskis ↔ D. Dobrecovs
Grobiņa

Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rīgas FS Win 88%
Draw 6%
Grobiņa Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rīgas FS2.01
Grobiņa0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WWDLW
92 GF / 35 GA
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WLDWL
31 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
2.24
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
20
BTTS Yes
16
22
Over 2.5
11
0.2
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 41 matches
Grobiņa Grobiņa 32 matches
Rīgas FS Statistic Grobiņa
31 Wins 6
6 Draws 12
4 Losses 14
92 Goals For 31
35 Goals Against 53
2.24 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
20 BTTS Yes 16
32 Over 1.5 24
22 Over 2.5 11
16 Over 3.5 9
18 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 13
0.2 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
1.2 Corners 0
10.8% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rīgas FS's more proactive style and Grobiņa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Grobiņa. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Grobiņa having the stronger overall control. Rīgas FS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Rīgas FS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 62 points compared to Grobiņa in 8 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 62 points after 24 outings. The return of 20 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 56:16, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Grobiņa Analysis

Grobiņa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 21 points from 25 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats with a 17:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Rīgas FS won 13 times, Grobiņa won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 50:7 from Rīgas FS's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1 / Grobiņa 4-4-2
H2H summary: Rīgas FS wins 13, draws 0, Grobiņa wins 0

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 22 7 2 86:30 56 73
W W D D L
2 29 23 4 2 70:21 49 73
W D W D W
3 30 18 6 6 48:29 19 60
W D W D W
4 31 12 7 12 41:43 -2 43
D D D W L
5 31 10 9 12 35:35 0 39
D L D L D
6 30 10 5 15 29:40 -11 35
L L W W D
7 31 8 8 15 32:49 -17 32
L D L W W
8 31 5 11 15 21:52 -31 26
D D L W L
9 31 5 9 17 44:61 -17 24
D L W L L
10 31 4 6 21 30:76 -46 18
W L D L L