LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
LNK Sporta Parks
Referee: S. Vasjkovs
Rīgas FS
Match Timeline
FS Jelgava
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
D. Lemajic · Assist: R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
S. Rakic ↔ M. Kigurs
Rīgas FS
47'
D. Lemajic · Assist: L. Odisharia
Rīgas FS
🔄
55'
D. Holoubek ↔ M. Pudil
FS Jelgava
57'
H. Prenga · Assist: H. Njie
Rīgas FS
🔄
64'
I. Diomande ↔ A. Kouadio
Rīgas FS
🔄
64'
L. Odisharia ↔ M. Talla
Rīgas FS
🔄
69'
L. Prior ↔ G. Kacanovs
FS Jelgava
🔄
69'
A. Janovskis ↔ R. Melkis
FS Jelgava
75'
M. Talla · Assist: M. Kigurs
Rīgas FS
🔄
76'
R. Becers ↔ A. Petersons
FS Jelgava
🔄
77'
T. Rataj ↔ G. Patika
FS Jelgava
🔄
80'
D. Lemajic ↔ G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
🔄
80'
R. Savalnieks ↔ N. Dusalijevs
Rīgas FS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 43.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79%
-
BTTS BTTS No
43.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
40.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rīgas FS Win 79%
Draw 0%
FS Jelgava Win 21%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rīgas FS2.06
FS Jelgava0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WWDLW
56 GF / 23 GA
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
WLDWL
15 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2.24
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
11
BTTS Yes
7
13
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 25 matches
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 18 matches
Rīgas FS Statistic FS Jelgava
19 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
2 Losses 10
56 Goals For 15
23 Goals Against 32
2.24 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
11 BTTS Yes 7
18 Over 1.5 11
13 Over 2.5 7
10 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rīgas FS's more proactive style and FS Jelgava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FS Jelgava. Rīgas FS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Rīgas FS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 34 points compared to FS Jelgava in 8 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FS Jelgava having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 34 points from 13 games, Rīgas FS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 11 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 29:9 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on S. Panic (6 goals), J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), D. Lemajic (4 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (4 assists), J. Ikaunieks (3 assists), L. Odisharia (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

FS Jelgava Analysis

FS Jelgava sit 8 with 13 points after 13 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 10:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Hasek (4 goals), A. Kangars (2 goals), G. Kacanovs (1 goals), with creative support from G. Zaleiko (2 assists), J. Novikovs (2 assists), L. Prior (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rīgas FS won 13 times, FS Jelgava won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:8 from Rīgas FS's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Rīgas FS wins 13, draws 1, FS Jelgava wins 1

Lineups

Rīgas FS
Formation
FS Jelgava
J. Nerugals
J. Nerugals
H. Njie
🎯
H. Njie
H. Prenga
H. Prenga
Z. Lipuscek
Z. Lipuscek
R. Savalnieks
🎯
R. Savalnieks
M. Saidy
M. Saidy
S. Panic
S. Panic
L. Odisharia
🎯
L. Odisharia
S. Rakic
S. Rakic
I. Diomande
I. Diomande
D. Lemajic
⚽ 2
D. Lemajic
A. Dvorak
A. Dvorak
A. Janovskis
A. Janovskis
J. Novikovs
J. Novikovs
A. Kangars
A. Kangars
M. Semesko
M. Semesko
L. Prior
L. Prior
R. Becers
R. Becers
G. Zaleiko
G. Zaleiko
D. Holoubek
D. Holoubek
F. Hasek
F. Hasek
T. Rataj
T. Rataj
Rīgas FS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
J. Nerugals
30
H. Njie
🎯 57'
23
H. Prenga
⚽ 57'
43
Z. Lipuscek
11
R. Savalnieks
🎯 27' ↓ 80'
66
M. Saidy
26
S. Panic
8
L. Odisharia
🎯 47' ↓ 64'
81
S. Rakic
↓ 46'
7
I. Diomande
↓ 64'
22
D. Lemajic
⚽ 27' ⚽ 47' ↓ 80'
Substitutes
35
M. Maric
40
A. Kuprins
18
D. Zelenkovs
77
G. Mankenda
↑ 80'
17
A. Kouadio
↑ 64'
21
N. Dusalijevs
↑ 80'
4
R. Veips
49
M. Kigurs
🎯 75' ↑ 46'
70
M. Talla
⚽ 75' ↑ 64'
FS Jelgava 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Dvorak
7
A. Janovskis
↓ 69'
13
J. Novikovs
4
A. Kangars
3
M. Semesko
25
L. Prior
↓ 69'
9
R. Becers
↓ 76'
29
G. Zaleiko
10
D. Holoubek
↓ 55'
24
F. Hasek
17
T. Rataj
↓ 77'
Substitutes
30
S. Belanik
16
T. Leitis
22
M. Pudil
↑ 55'
21
G. Kacanovs
↑ 69'
5
I. Smirnovs
19
A. Petersons
↑ 76'
8
R. Melkis
↑ 69'
20
G. Patika
↑ 77'
28
A. Deklavs
Last matches: Rīgas FS
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
06.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
4
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
2
2
D
Last matches: FS Jelgava
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
15.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Šiauliai
0
1
L
H2H: Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava
21.05.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
08.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
13.09.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
12.07.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
26.06.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
05.05.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
11.03.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
30.09.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
2
W
05.07.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
7
0
W
15.05.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
1
2
W
03.04.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
5
1
W
24.09.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
16.07.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
3
W
04.07.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
13.05.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
Last matches: Rīgas FS
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
06.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
4
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
4
2
W
28.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
2
W
14.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
2
W
28.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
2
2
D
06.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
KuPS
1
2
L
22.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Malmo FF
1
4
L
15.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rīgas FS
21.05.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
13.09.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
11.03.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
05.07.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
7
0
W
03.04.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
5
1
W
04.07.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
13.05.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
Last matches: FS Jelgava
13.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
15.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
1
D
27.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Šiauliai
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Nõmme United
4
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Panevėžys
0
2
L
H2H away: FS Jelgava
21.05.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
L
13.09.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
4
W
11.03.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
L
05.07.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
7
0
L
03.04.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
5
1
L
04.07.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
L
13.05.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
L

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 3 1 60:19 41 48
W W W W W
2 18 15 1 2 42:14 28 46
L W W W W
3 19 12 2 5 36:23 13 38
W L D W W
4 19 7 4 8 23:29 -6 25
L L W W D
5 19 6 5 8 21:25 -4 23
W D D D L
6 19 6 3 10 19:27 -8 21
L D L L L
7 19 4 7 8 17:34 -17 19
W L D D D
8 19 3 8 8 33:36 -3 17
L W D L L
9 19 3 7 9 12:30 -18 16
L W L L D
10 18 1 4 13 16:42 -26 7
W L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga