LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass
Referee: A. Kenins
Rīgas FS
Match Timeline
FK Liepaja
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
M. Saidy
Rīgas FS
35'
Z. Lipuscek · Assist: R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
38'
A. Korobenko
Rīgas FS
🟨
41'
A. Korobenko
FK Liepaja
🔄
46'
C. Amatkarijo ↔ A. Traore
FK Liepaja
54'
I. Diomande · Assist: M. Saidy
Rīgas FS
🔄
60'
I. Diomande ↔ D. Lemajic
Rīgas FS
🔄
60'
R. Savalnieks ↔ G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
🔄
66'
A. Haidara ↔ D. Gueye
FK Liepaja
🔄
66'
I. Patrikejevs ↔ A. Ogunniyi
FK Liepaja
🔄
72'
A. Kouadio ↔ N. Sliede
Rīgas FS
🔄
72'
A. Filipovic ↔ M. Kigurs
Rīgas FS
78'
S. Panic
Rīgas FS
🔄
82'
E. Rodolphe ↔ V. Sorokins
FK Liepaja
🔄
83'
J. Ikaunieks ↔ L. Odisharia
Rīgas FS
🟨
84'
I. Korotkovs
FK Liepaja
🔄
89'
Fellipe Vieira ↔ L. Lakutis
FK Liepaja

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 15.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
15.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
27.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rīgas FS Win 69.4%
Draw 4.9%
FK Liepaja Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rīgas FS1.88
FK Liepaja1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WWDLW
47 GF / 23 GA
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
WLDWL
27 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
11
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 22 matches
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 18 matches
Rīgas FS Statistic FK Liepaja
16 Wins 7
4 Draws 4
2 Losses 7
47 Goals For 27
23 Goals Against 27
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
11 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rīgas FS's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FK Liepaja. Rīgas FS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rīgas FS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 25 points compared to FK Liepaja in 6 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 25 points from 10 games, Rīgas FS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 20:9 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), S. Panic (4 goals), D. Lemajic (3 goals), with creative support from L. Odisharia (3 assists), R. Savalnieks (3 assists), J. Ikaunieks (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

FK Liepaja Analysis

FK Liepaja sit 6 with 12 points after 10 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 10:12 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Gueye (2 goals), D. Patijcuks (2 goals), I. Patrikejevs (2 goals), with creative support from A. Korobenko (1 assists), A. Ogunniyi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rīgas FS won 11 times, FK Liepaja won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:10 from Rīgas FS's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Rīgas FS wins 11, draws 3, FK Liepaja wins 1

Lineups

Rīgas FS
Formation
FK Liepaja
J. Nerugals
J. Nerugals
H. Njie
H. Njie
Z. Lipuscek
Z. Lipuscek
A. Filipovic
A. Filipovic
R. Savalnieks
🎯
R. Savalnieks
M. Saidy
🎯
M. Saidy
S. Panic
S. Panic
D. Zelenkovs
D. Zelenkovs
J. Ikaunieks
J. Ikaunieks
I. Diomande
I. Diomande
A. Kouadio
A. Kouadio
D. Oss
D. Oss
A. Korobenko
A. Korobenko
B. Straalman
B. Straalman
I. Korotkovs
I. Korotkovs
A. Silva
A. Silva
E. Rodolphe
E. Rodolphe
C. Amatkarijo
C. Amatkarijo
I. Patrikejevs
I. Patrikejevs
Fellipe Vieira
Fellipe Vieira
A. Haidara
A. Haidara
I. Pulis
I. Pulis
Rīgas FS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
J. Nerugals
30
H. Njie
43
Z. Lipuscek
⚽ 35'
6
A. Filipovic
↓ 72'
11
R. Savalnieks
🎯 35' ↓ 60'
66
M. Saidy
⚽ 14' 🎯 54'
26
S. Panic
⚽ 78'
18
D. Zelenkovs
10
J. Ikaunieks
↓ 83'
7
I. Diomande
⚽ 54' ↓ 60'
17
A. Kouadio
↓ 72'
Substitutes
35
M. Maric
22
D. Lemajic
↑ 60'
77
G. Mankenda
↑ 60'
5
N. Sliede
↑ 72'
8
L. Odisharia
↑ 83'
4
R. Veips
49
M. Kigurs
↑ 72'
70
M. Talla
81
S. Rakic
FK Liepaja 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
24
D. Oss
28
A. Korobenko
⚽ 38' 🟨 41'
2
B. Straalman
33
I. Korotkovs
🟨 84'
5
A. Silva
6
E. Rodolphe
↓ 82'
31
C. Amatkarijo
↓ 46'
11
I. Patrikejevs
↓ 66'
55
Fellipe Vieira
↓ 89'
23
A. Haidara
↓ 66'
9
I. Pulis
Substitutes
12
D. Petkovic
35
V. Sorokins
↑ 82'
3
K. Iljins
14
D. Gueye
↑ 66'
7
A. Ogunniyi
↑ 66'
4
M. Martins
44
K. Leidsman
8
A. Traore
↑ 46'
29
L. Lakutis
↑ 89'
Last matches: Rīgas FS
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
06.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
4
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kolding IF
1
0
W
Last matches: FK Liepaja
30.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Tukums
3
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
22.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
3
L
17.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
2
1
W
12.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
4
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Riga
0
1
L
28.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
1
1
D
23.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Tukums
2
2
D
12.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
2
L
03.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
0
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
1
0
W
13.03.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
07.03.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Riga
2
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
0
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
3
1
W
H2H: Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja
08.05.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
13.03.26
H2H
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
28.09.25
H2H
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
04.07.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
14.05.25
H2H
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
2
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
4
1
W
20.09.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
01.07.24
H2H
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
1
3
W
10.05.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
4
1
W
30.03.24
H2H
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
0
3
W
30.09.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
08.07.23
H2H
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
17.05.23
H2H
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
0
3
W
05.04.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
06.11.22
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
0
0
D
Last matches: Rīgas FS
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
06.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
4
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
4
2
W
28.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
2
W
14.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
2
W
28.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
2
2
D
06.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
KuPS
1
2
L
22.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Malmo FF
1
4
L
15.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rīgas FS
08.05.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
04.07.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
4
1
W
20.09.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
10.05.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
4
1
W
30.09.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
05.04.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
06.11.22
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
0
0
D
Last matches: FK Liepaja
26.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
22.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
3
L
03.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Riga
0
1
L
23.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Tukums
2
2
D
03.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
0
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
1
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
3
1
W
H2H away: FK Liepaja
08.05.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
L
04.07.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
4
1
L
20.09.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
L
10.05.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
4
1
L
30.09.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
3
1
L
05.04.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
L
06.11.22
H2H
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 38:11 27 43
?
2 16 12 3 1 50:17 33 39
?
3 16 11 1 4 32:20 12 34
?
4 16 6 4 6 21:23 -2 22
?
5 16 6 2 8 18:23 -5 20
?
6 16 5 3 8 19:24 -5 18
?
7 16 3 6 7 12:30 -18 15
?
8 16 2 7 7 29:30 -1 13
?
9 16 2 7 7 10:26 -16 13
?
10 16 0 4 12 13:38 -25 4
?