Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
79.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rīgas FS
32 matches
BFC Daugavpils
28 matches
| Rīgas FS | Statistic | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 3 | Losses | 14 |
| 77 | Goals For | 28 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 2.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rīgas FS's more proactive style and BFC Daugavpils's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward BFC Daugavpils. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rīgas FS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Rīgas FS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 49 points compared to BFC Daugavpils in 5 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward BFC Daugavpils having the stronger overall control.
Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 49 points after 19 outings. They have recorded 16 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 48:14 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on D. Lemajic (10 goals), S. Panic (7 goals), I. Diomande (6 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (8 assists), M. Saidy (4 assists), L. Odisharia (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 23 points from 19 outings, BFC Daugavpils continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 21:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Ndjiki (8 goals), A. Garzha (5 goals), J. Yakubu (4 goals), with creative support from R. Ndjiki (5 assists), J. Yakubu (4 assists), G. Mihalcovs (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rīgas FS won 14 times, BFC Daugavpils won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 47:10 from Rīgas FS's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
Lineups
Rīgas FS
FK Jablonec
Rīgas FS
Vestri
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Vestri
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Riga
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Vestri
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Riga
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
Rīgas FS
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Rīgas FS
TransINVEST Vilnius
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
Rīgas FS
KuPS
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Suduva Marijampole
BFC Daugavpils
Šiauliai
BFC Daugavpils
Flora Tallinn
BFC Daugavpils
FK Trakai
BFC Daugavpils
TransINVEST Vilnius
BFC Daugavpils
Panevėžys
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rīgas FS
Home
|
24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 56:16 | 40 | 62 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 72:20 | 52 | 61 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
BFC Daugavpils
Away
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 5 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 31 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 17:41 | -24 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 40:49 | -9 | 20 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23:61 | -38 | 14 |
D
L
W
L
W
|