LATVIA VIRSLIGA
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LNK Sporta Parks

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rīgas FS Win 70.8%
Draw 3.5%
Auda Win 25.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rīgas FS1.9
Auda1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WWDLW
77 GF / 28 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
38 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
2.41
Average Goals Scored
1.58
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
15
BTTS Yes
13
19
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 32 matches
Auda Auda 24 matches
Rīgas FS Statistic Auda
25 Wins 13
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 6
77 Goals For 38
28 Goals Against 27
2.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
15 BTTS Yes 13
25 Over 1.5 19
19 Over 2.5 13
14 Over 3.5 5
15 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Auda. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Rīgas FS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 52 points compared to Auda in 3 on 39, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Rīgas FS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Auda having the stronger overall control.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 52 points after 20 outings. The return of 17 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 50:14, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Auda Analysis

Auda arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 39 points after 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 36:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rīgas FS won 12 times, Auda won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:13 from Rīgas FS's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
H2H summary: Rīgas FS wins 12, draws 0, Auda wins 3
Last matches: Rīgas FS
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
22.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
06.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
Last matches: Auda
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
H2H: Rīgas FS vs Auda
17.05.26
H2H
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
W
04.04.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
17.09.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
2
L
31.08.25
H2H
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
1
W
22.06.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
0
W
01.05.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
0
W
05.03.25
H2H
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
2
W
30.10.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
4
2
W
17.10.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
2
L
21.06.24
H2H
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
3
W
01.05.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
2
1
W
08.03.24
H2H
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
2
W
07.10.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
23.07.23
H2H
Auda
Rīgas FS
2
5
W
21.05.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
2
0
W
Last matches: Rīgas FS
22.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
06.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
4
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
4
2
W
28.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
2
W
14.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
2
W
28.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
2
2
D
06.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
KuPS
1
2
L
22.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Malmo FF
1
4
L
15.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rīgas FS
04.04.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
17.09.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
2
L
22.06.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
0
W
01.05.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
0
W
30.10.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
4
2
W
17.10.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
2
L
01.05.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
2
1
W
07.10.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
21.05.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
2
0
W
Last matches: Auda
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
0
0
D
H2H away: Auda
04.04.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
W
17.09.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
2
W
22.06.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
0
L
01.05.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
0
L
30.10.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
4
2
L
17.10.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
2
W
01.05.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
2
1
L
07.10.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
L
21.05.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Auda
2
0
L

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 17 1 2 50:14 36 52
W W L W W
2 20 15 4 1 60:19 41 49
D W W W W
3
Auda Away
20 12 3 5 36:23 13 39
D W L D W
4 20 7 4 9 23:31 -8 25
L L L W W
5 20 6 6 8 21:25 -4 24
D W D D D
6 20 5 7 8 22:35 -13 22
W W L D D
7 20 6 3 11 20:32 -12 21
L L D L L
8 20 3 8 9 35:39 -4 17
L L W D L
9 20 3 8 9 12:30 -18 17
D L W L L
10 20 2 4 14 19:50 -31 10
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga