WORLD › UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

28.07.2026 17:00

Riga

AET

5 - 2

Vardar Skopje

Skonto stadions

Referee: G. Kikacheishvili

Riga

Match Timeline

Vardar Skopje

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

⚽

🟥

🔄

🟨

🔄

⚽

🔄

⚽

🔄

🟨

⚽

🔄

🟨

⚽

🔄

⚽

Riga vs Vardar Skopje Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 90.1%

Odds -

1 agree / 0 disagree

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	90.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	75%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Under 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Riga Win 49.9%

Draw 9.9%

Vardar Skopje Win 40.2%

Expected Goals (xG)

Riga2.37

Vardar Skopje1.26

Recent Form (Last 5)

Riga

WWDLW

88 GF / 36 GA

Vardar Skopje

WLDWL

18 GF / 25 GA

Key Stats

2.67

Average Goals Scored

1.38

1.09

Average Goals Conceded

1.92

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.33

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Riga 33 matches

Vardar Skopje 13 matches

Riga	Statistic	Vardar Skopje
24	Wins	4
5	Draws	3
4	Losses	6
88	Goals For	18
36	Goals Against	25
2.67	Avg Goals Scored	1.38
1.09	Avg Goals Conceded	1.92
21	BTTS Yes	7
31	Over 1.5	11
27	Over 2.5	7
18	Over 3.5	5
11	Clean Sheets	2
2	Failed To Score	5
2.33	Shots On Goal	0
5.33	Total Shots	0
0.67	Corners	0
17.7%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 2 times, Vardar Skopje won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from Riga's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)

Predicted formations: Riga 5-4-1 / Vardar Skopje 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Riga wins 2, draws 0, Vardar Skopje wins 0

Standings

League Round

#	Team	G	Form
1	Aarhus	0:0	?
2	Ajax	0:0	W W D W W
3	Atalanta	0:0	W D
4	Borac Banja Luka	0:0	W W W W D
5	SC Braga	0:0	D W D W W
6	Brann	0:0	W D W L W
7	Brighton	0:0	W D
8	FC Copenhagen	0:0	W D W W W
9	FK Crvena Zvezda	0:0	?
10	CSKA Sofia	0:0	?
11	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:0	?
12	SC Freiburg	0:0	W W
13	Gent	0:0	W D D W W
14	Getafe	0:0	L W
15	HNK Hajduk Split	0:0	W D W W
16	Heart Of Midlothian	0:0	W D
17	FC Iberia 1999	0:0	?
18	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0:0	W D W W
19	FK Jablonec	0:0	W L W W W
20	Kairat Almaty	0:0	?
21	Kauno Žalgiris	0:0	?
22	KuPS	0:0	W D
23	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0:0	W L
24	FC Lugano	0:0	D W D W W
25	FC Midtjylland	0:0	W W W W
26	Mjallby AIF	0:0	?
27	Monaco	0:0	W W
28	FC Nordsjaelland	0:0	W W W W W
29	Pafos	0:0	W D
30	Panathinaikos	0:0	W D W D D
31	Riga Home	0:0	W D D W W
32	St. Truiden	0:0	?
33	FC Thun	0:0	?
34	Trabzonspor	0:0	?
35	Twente	0:0	W L D W
36	Universitatea Craiova	0:0	?

Playoffs