WORLD UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Skonto
Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili, Georgia
Riga
Match Timeline
Vardar Skopje
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
D. Babunski · Assist: I. Puleio
Vardar Skopje
🟥
19'
F. Najdovski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
22'
Miguel Pires ↔ D. Velkovski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
46'
M. Diop ↔ Caio Ferreira
Riga
🟨
56'
B. Musah
Riga
🔄
65'
O. Galo ↔ Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
66'
A. Omeragic
Vardar Skopje
🔄
69'
A. Omeragic ↔ G. Zakaric
Vardar Skopje
🟨
70'
C. Fabbiani
Vardar Skopje
🔄
75'
A. Salazar ↔ A. Taiwo
Riga
🔄
84'
D. Castaneda ↔ F. Duranski
Vardar Skopje
87'
A. Taiwo · Assist: Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
🔄
91'
M. Manevski ↔ F. Cvetkovski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
91'
R. Jurkovskis ↔ M. Tonisevs
Riga
92'
R. Aouani
Riga
🟨
92'
R. Aouani
Riga
🔄
99'
M. Badamosi ↔ A. Cernomordijs
Riga
🔄
99'
D. Babunski ↔ D. Todorovski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
99'
I. Puleio ↔ D. Danev
Vardar Skopje
105'
Iago Siqueira · Assist: R. Aouani
Riga
🟨
105+6'
F. Duranski
Vardar Skopje
109'
Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
🔄
112'
R. Aouani ↔ K. Wassom
Riga
117'
Caio Ferreira · Assist: M. Tonisevs
Riga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.12
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.1%
1.12
BTTS Yes
75%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.47
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.87
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.83
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Riga Win 49.9%
Draw 9.9%
Vardar Skopje Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga2.37
Vardar Skopje1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Riga Riga
WWDLW
88 GF / 36 GA
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje
WLDWL
18 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
21
BTTS Yes
7
27
Over 2.5
7
2.33
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Riga Riga 33 matches
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje 13 matches
Riga Statistic Vardar Skopje
24 Wins 4
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 6
88 Goals For 18
36 Goals Against 25
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
21 BTTS Yes 7
31 Over 1.5 11
27 Over 2.5 7
18 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 5
2.33 Shots On Goal 0
5.33 Total Shots 0
0.67 Corners 0
17.7% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 1 times, Vardar Skopje won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Riga's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Riga 5-4-1 / Vardar Skopje 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Riga wins 1, draws 0, Vardar Skopje wins 0

Lineups

Riga
Formation
Vardar Skopje
Frenks Orols
Frenks Orols
Raivis Jurkovskis
Raivis Jurkovskis
Paulo
Paulo
Baba Musah
Baba Musah
Andrés Salazar
Andrés Salazar
Meïssa Diop
Meïssa Diop
Iago Siqueira Augusto
Iago Siqueira Augusto
Ahmed Ankrah
Ahmed Ankrah
Orlando Galo
Orlando Galo
Raki Aouani
🎯
Raki Aouani
Muhammed Badamosi
Muhammed Badamosi
Davor Taleski
Davor Taleski
Georgije Jankulov
Georgije Jankulov
Filip Najdovski
Filip Najdovski
Mislav Matić
Mislav Matić
Mihail Manevski
Mihail Manevski
David Babunski
David Babunski
Diego Castañeda
Diego Castañeda
Ian Puleio
🎯
Ian Puleio
Miguel Pires
Miguel Pires
Gerson Rodrigues
Gerson Rodrigues
Azer Omeragikj
Azer Omeragikj
Riga 5-4-1
Starting XI
91
Frenks Orols
G
13
Raivis Jurkovskis
↓ 91'
D
33
Paulo
D
21
Baba Musah
🟨 56'
D
17
Andrés Salazar
↓ 75'
D
22
Meïssa Diop
M
8
Iago Siqueira Augusto
⚽ 105'
M
40
Ahmed Ankrah
M
4
Orlando Galo
↓ 65'
M
7
Raki Aouani
⚽ 92' 🎯 105' ↓ 112' 🟨 92'
M
19
Muhammed Badamosi
↓ 99'
F
Substitutes
99
Caio Ferreira
⚽ 117' ↑ 46'
F
10
Reginaldo Ramires
⚽ 109' 🎯 87' ↑ 65'
F
25
Abdulrahman Taiwo
⚽ 87' ↑ 75'
F
23
Maksims Tonisevs
🎯 117' ↑ 91'
D
34
Antonijs Černomordijs
↑ 99'
D
5
Karl Gameni Wassom
↑ 112'
D
31
Athanasios Papadoudis
G
44
Marcis Kazainis
G
3
Abner
D
11
Brian Peña
M
Vardar Skopje 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
95
Davor Taleski
G
21
Georgije Jankulov
D
5
Filip Najdovski
🟥 19'
D
4
Mislav Matić
D
3
Mihail Manevski
↓ 91'
D
6
David Babunski
⚽ 17' ↓ 99'
M
32
Diego Castañeda
↓ 84'
M
34
Ian Puleio
🎯 17' ↓ 99'
M
71
Miguel Pires
↓ 22'
M
7
Gerson Rodrigues
F
9
Azer Omeragikj
⚽ 66' ↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
14
Darko Velkovski
↑ 22'
D
10
Goran Zakarić
↑ 69'
F
23
Filip Duranski
↑ 84' 🟨 105+6'
M
27
Filip Cvetkovski
↑ 91'
D
22
Dimitar Todorovski
↑ 99'
M
49
Dimitar Danev
↑ 99'
F
1
Daniel Dikovski
G
18
Nenad Miskovski
D
17
Ediz Spahiu
F
31
Ivo Markovski
F
Last matches: Riga
22.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
3
2
W
18.07.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
Last matches: Vardar Skopje
25.07.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Bregalnica Štip
2
0
W
22.07.26
UEF
Vardar Skopje
Riga
2
3
L
14.07.26
UEF
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
0
2
L
30.06.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
Virtus
3
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
La Fiorita
1
1
D
23.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Shkendija
3
0
W
15.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Struga
1
0
W
09.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Sileks
2
1
W
02.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Bashkimi Kumanovo
2
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Tikveš
7
0
W
18.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Shkupi 1927
7
0
W
11.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
FK Rabotnicki
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Pelister
0
0
D
04.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Makedonija GjP
5
1
W
21.03.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Aresimi
0
1
L
14.03.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Akademija Pandev
1
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Sileks
1
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Shkendija
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Struga
1
1
D
H2H: Riga vs Vardar Skopje
22.07.26
H2H
Vardar Skopje
Riga
2
3
W
Last matches: Riga
18.07.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
W
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
09.04.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
3
D
14.03.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
4
2
W
27.01.26
Fri
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Riga
Žilina
3
2
W
27.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
3
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Riga
Dila
2
1
W
Last matches: Vardar Skopje
14.07.26
UEF
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
3
2
W
30.06.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
Virtus
3
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
La Fiorita
1
1
D
15.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Struga
1
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Bashkimi Kumanovo
2
0
W
18.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Shkupi 1927
7
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Pelister
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Aresimi
0
1
L
09.03.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Sileks
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Struga
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
FK Rabotnicki
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
Osogovo
4
1
W
02.02.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
Alashkert
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
FK Sarajevo
0
0
D
29.01.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
Akhmat
0
1
L
26.01.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
FK Jablonec
2
6
L
05.12.25
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Makedonija GjP
2
1
W
22.11.25
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Akademija Pandev
2
0
W
05.11.25
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Pelister
2
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.33
Draw 4.94
Home 1.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.33
Over 2.5 1.47
Over 2.75 1.59
Over 3.0 1.78
Over 3.25 2.03
Over 3.5 2.27
Over 3.75 2.64
Over 4.0 3.16
Under 2.25 3.08
Under 2.5 2.55
Under 2.75 2.30
Under 3.0 2.02
Under 3.25 1.75
Under 3.5 1.58
Under 3.75 1.44
Under 4.0 1.32
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 4.75
Home 1.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 2.62
Home 1.73
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 3.00
Home 1.57
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 10.50
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.02
Draw 4.85
Home 1.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.35
Draw 2.52
Home 1.83
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.03
Draw 3.08
Home 1.64
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.07
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 1.75 1.14
Over 2.0 1.17
Over 2.25 1.32
Over 2.5 1.46
Over 2.75 1.59
Over 3.0 1.76
Over 3.25 2.04
Over 3.5 2.27
Over 3.75 2.55
Over 4.0 3.15
Over 4.25 3.37
Over 4.5 3.72
Over 4.75 4.60
Over 5.0 6.15
Over 5.25 6.49
Over 5.5 6.75
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.50
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.25 5.95
Under 1.5 4.90
Under 1.75 4.44
Under 2.0 4.00
Under 2.25 2.87
Under 2.5 2.38
Under 2.75 2.14
Under 3.0 1.90
Under 3.25 1.74
Under 3.5 1.60
Under 3.75 1.42
Under 4.0 1.28
Under 4.25 1.24
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 4.75 1.13
Under 5.0 1.06
Under 5.25 1.05
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 5.25
Home 1.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.75
Home 1.68
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 3.20
Home 1.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 3.0 1.75
Over 3.25 1.98
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 3.75 2.55
Over 4.0 3.15
Over 4.25 3.40
Over 4.5 3.70
Over 4.75 4.50
Over 5.0 5.80
Over 5.5 6.25
Under 1.5 4.70
Under 2.5 2.43
Under 3.0 1.92
Under 3.25 1.70
Under 3.5 1.57
Under 3.75 1.44
Under 4.0 1.30
Under 4.25 1.26
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 4.75 1.15
Under 5.0 1.09
Under 5.5 1.07