LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Skonto stadions
Riga
Match Timeline
Rīgas FS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
R. Aouani
Riga
38'
O. Galo · Assist: S. Oulad M'Hand
Riga
VAR
45+1'
R. Aouani
Riga
🟨
45+4'
S. Panic
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
R. Savalnieks ↔ M. Talla
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
N. Dusalijevs ↔ M. Kigurs
Rīgas FS
🔄
64'
K. Emenike ↔ D. Lemajic
Rīgas FS
65'
M. Talla · Assist: A. Filipovic
Rīgas FS
🟨
68'
Z. Lipuscek
Rīgas FS
🟨
68'
O. Galo
Riga
🟨
68'
M. Badamosi
Riga
🟨
68'
G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
🟨
70'
A. Gula
Riga
🔄
71'
R. Aouani ↔ M. Diop
Riga
🔄
71'
R. Jurkovskis ↔ A. Salazar
Riga
🔄
76'
G. Mankenda ↔ R. Veips
Rīgas FS
🔄
76'
A. Filipovic ↔ H. Njie
Rīgas FS
🟨
77'
D. Lemajic
Rīgas FS
🔄
78'
S. Oulad M'Hand ↔ B. Musah
Riga
🔄
87'
M. Badamosi ↔ Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
🟨
90+2'
H. Njie
Rīgas FS
🟨
90+2'
Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
🟨
90+3'
K. Wassom
Riga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
1.25
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.73
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Riga Win 42%
Draw 11.8%
Rīgas FS Win 46.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga2.06
Rīgas FS1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Riga Riga
WWDLW
68 GF / 28 GA
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WLDWL
68 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.83
Average Goals Scored
2.34
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
17
BTTS Yes
14
21
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Riga Riga 24 matches
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 29 matches
Riga Statistic Rīgas FS
17 Wins 23
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
68 Goals For 68
28 Goals Against 26
2.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.34
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
17 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 22
21 Over 2.5 17
14 Over 3.5 13
7 Clean Sheets 13
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rīgas FS. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control.

Riga Analysis

Placed 2 with 39 points from 16 outings, Riga continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 50:17 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Badamosi (11 goals), D. Lemajic (8 goals), S. Panic (7 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (7 assists), Reginaldo Ramires (5 assists), A. Salazar (5 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 43 points from 16 matches. The record of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 38:11 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Lemajic (8 goals), S. Panic (7 goals), J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (7 assists), L. Odisharia (4 assists), J. Ikaunieks (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 3 times, Rīgas FS won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Riga's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
H2H summary: Riga wins 3, draws 8, Rīgas FS wins 4
Last matches: Riga
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
09.04.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
3
D
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Riga
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
1
W
14.03.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
4
2
W
07.03.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.02.26
Fri
Riga
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
Last matches: Rīgas FS
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
06.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Táborsko
4
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
2
2
D
H2H: Riga vs Rīgas FS
28.04.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
07.11.25
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
25.09.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
0
D
18.06.25
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
1
W
26.04.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
1
L
10.11.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
W
23.09.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
2
1
L
25.08.24
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
0
0
D
16.06.24
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
2
2
D
27.04.24
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
25.10.23
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
16.09.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
26.05.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Riga
0
0
D
Last matches: Riga
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
09.04.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
3
D
14.03.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
4
2
W
27.01.26
Fri
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Riga
Žilina
3
2
W
27.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
3
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Riga
Dila
2
1
W
H2H at home: Riga
07.11.25
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
18.06.25
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
1
W
25.08.24
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
0
0
D
27.04.24
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
25.10.23
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
30.06.23
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
Last matches: Rīgas FS
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kolding IF
1
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Paide
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
2
0
W
21.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
0
1
L
14.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
KuPS
0
1
L
30.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Malmo FF
0
1
L
08.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
H2H away: Rīgas FS
07.11.25
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
4
W
18.06.25
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
1
L
25.08.24
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
0
0
D
27.04.24
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
1
2
W
25.10.23
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
30.06.23
H2H
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.59
Draw 3.23
Home 2.61
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.06
Draw 2.29
Home 3.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.29
Over 2.0 1.31
Over 2.25 1.52
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 2.75 1.93
Over 3.0 2.22
Over 3.25 2.49
Over 3.5 2.76
Under 1.75 3.36
Under 2.0 3.26
Under 2.25 2.44
Under 2.5 2.07
Under 2.75 1.87
Under 3.0 1.64
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.41
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.45
Draw 3.30
Home 2.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.20
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.50
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.52
Draw 3.14
Home 2.52
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.16
Draw 2.04
Home 3.16
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.76
Draw 2.50
Home 2.76
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.23
Over 2.0 1.29
Over 2.25 1.51
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 2.75 1.84
Over 3.0 2.14
Over 3.25 2.41
Over 3.5 2.66
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.30
Over 4.25 4.64
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 4.75 6.34
Over 5.0 9.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 10.80
Under 1.0 8.10
Under 1.25 5.30
Under 1.5 3.88
Under 1.75 3.42
Under 2.0 3.04
Under 2.25 2.37
Under 2.5 2.01
Under 2.75 1.78
Under 3.0 1.57
Under 3.25 1.45
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 3.75 1.26
Under 4.0 1.15
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.00
Home 2.43
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.86
Over 3.5 3.15
Over 4.5 5.75
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.08

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 15 1 1 41:12 29 46
W W W W W
2
Riga Home
17 13 3 1 54:18 36 42
W W W W D
3 17 11 2 4 33:21 12 35
D W W W L
4 18 7 4 7 23:25 -2 25
L W W D L
5 18 6 3 9 19:25 -6 21
D L L L W
6 18 5 5 8 20:25 -5 20
D D D L W
7 18 3 7 8 12:29 -17 16
W L L D L
8 17 3 7 7 13:31 -18 16
D D D L D
9 17 2 8 7 30:31 -1 14
D L L L D
10 17 0 4 13 14:42 -28 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga