Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
1.14 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.28 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
12.00 |
Riga
Grobiņa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Riga
34 matches
Grobiņa
31 matches
| Riga | Statistic | Grobiņa |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 12 |
| 4 | Losses | 13 |
| 93 | Goals For | 31 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 2.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 19 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 2.33 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 5.33 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0.67 | Corners | 0 |
| 17.7% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Riga's more proactive style and Grobiņa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Riga come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Grobiņa. Riga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 58 points compared to Grobiņa in 8 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Grobiņa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Operating from 2 place with 58 points from 23 games, Riga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 68:20 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Grobiņa sit 8 with 20 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 15:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 9 times, Grobiņa won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:2 from Riga's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Riga
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Tukums
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Riga
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Tukums
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Tukums
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
Riga
Žilina
Riga
Sparta Praha
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
Riga
Dila
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
Metta / LU
Grobiņa
Hegelmann Litauen
Grobiņa
Suduva Marijampole
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 56:16 | 40 | 62 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Home
|
23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 3 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Grobiņa
Away
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 17:37 | -20 | 21 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 9 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23:61 | -38 | 14 |
D
L
W
L
W
|