Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Riga
FS Jelgava
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Riga
19 matches
FS Jelgava
17 matches
| Riga | Statistic | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 10 |
| 54 | Goals For | 13 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 2.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Riga's more proactive style and FS Jelgava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FS Jelgava having the stronger overall control. Riga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 26 points compared to FS Jelgava in 7 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Riga come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FS Jelgava. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Riga come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 26 points after 11 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 36:13 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on M. Badamosi (7 goals), Iago Siqueira (6 goals), J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), with creative support from Reginaldo Ramires (5 assists), A. Salazar (5 assists), R. Savalnieks (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
FS Jelgava are currently 7 in the standings with 12 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 8:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Hasek (4 goals), A. Kangars (2 goals), G. Kacanovs (1 goals), with creative support from J. Novikovs (2 assists), A. Dvorak (1 assists), D. Holoubek (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 12 times, FS Jelgava won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 48:15 from Riga's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.
Lineups
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Legia Warszawa
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Auda
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Tukums
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
Riga
Žilina
Riga
Sparta Praha
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
Riga
Dila
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Šiauliai
FS Jelgava
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
Panevėžys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Home
|
22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
FS Jelgava
Away
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|