Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
79.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Riga
FK Liepaja
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Riga
25 matches
FK Liepaja
26 matches
| Riga | Statistic | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 11 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 10 |
| 70 | Goals For | 40 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 2.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.54 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.54 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Riga's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FK Liepaja. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Riga come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Riga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 42 points compared to FK Liepaja in 4 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Riga approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 42 points after 17 outings. The return of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 54:18, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Badamosi (12 goals), D. Lemajic (8 goals), S. Panic (7 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (7 assists), Reginaldo Ramires (5 assists), A. Salazar (5 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Operating from 4 place with 25 points from 17 games, FK Liepaja bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 23:24, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Gueye (5 goals), K. Leidsman (5 goals), Fellipe Vieira (4 goals), with creative support from Fellipe Vieira (2 assists), A. Korobenko (2 assists), K. Leidsman (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 12 times, FK Liepaja won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 39:12 from Riga's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 68:20 | 48 | 69 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Home
|
27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 81:27 | 54 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 44:27 | 17 | 53 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Away
|
28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:41 | -2 | 40 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 5 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 32:47 | -15 | 31 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 29 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20:50 | -30 | 24 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 41:58 | -17 | 20 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 26:71 | -45 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|