Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
83.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
91.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Riga
FK Liepaja
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Riga
16 matches
FK Liepaja
17 matches
| Riga | Statistic | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 6 |
| 46 | Goals For | 27 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 2.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Riga's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FK Liepaja. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Riga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 20 points compared to FK Liepaja in 6 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Operating from 2 place with 20 points from 9 games, Riga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 32:12 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on M. Badamosi (7 goals), Iago Siqueira (5 goals), Reginaldo Ramires (5 goals), with creative support from Reginaldo Ramires (5 assists), A. Salazar (5 assists), L. Odisharia (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
FK Liepaja sit 6 with 12 points after 9 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 10:11 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Gueye (2 goals), D. Patijcuks (2 goals), I. Patrikejevs (2 goals), with creative support from A. Korobenko (1 assists), A. Ogunniyi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 13 times, FK Liepaja won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 40:10 from Riga's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Lineups
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Legia Warszawa
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Flora Tallinn
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Tukums
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
Riga
Žilina
Riga
Sparta Praha
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
Riga
Dila
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 38:11 | 27 | 43 |
?
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Home
|
16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 39 |
?
|
| 3 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 32:20 | 12 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Away
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 22 |
?
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:30 | -18 | 15 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 13 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10:26 | -16 | 13 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13:38 | -25 | 4 |
?
|