LATVIA VIRSLIGA
11.09.2026 15:00
FT
2 - 2
Skonto stadions
Referee: A. Treimanis
Riga
Match Timeline
Auda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
S. Oulad M'Hand
Riga
🔄
42'
Paulo Eduardo ↔ A. Cernomordijs
Riga
🟨
51'
Y. Traore
Auda
🔄
54'
W. Fofana ↔ E. Daskevics
Auda
🔄
54'
J. Gerold ↔ J. Minins
Auda
🟨
56'
R. Kragliks
Auda
🔄
64'
M. Diop ↔ Caio Ferreira
Riga
🔄
64'
Iago Siqueira ↔ O. Galo
Riga
66'
Caio Ferreira · Assist: A. Salazar
Riga
🔄
71'
B. Diedhiou ↔ B. Pena
Auda
🔄
71'
M. Fofana ↔ S. Koume
Auda
76'
A. Appiah · Assist: J. Minins
Auda
🟨
80'
A. Salazar
Riga
🔄
81'
A. Salazar ↔ M. Tonisevs
Riga
🔄
81'
M. Badamosi ↔ Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
🔄
81'
O. Rubenis ↔ A. Ogunji
Auda
90'
A. Appiah
Auda
🟨
90+5'
D. Zanetti
Auda

Riga vs Auda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.31
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.5%
1.31
BTTS Yes
75%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.52
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Riga Win 69.5%
Draw 3.4%
Auda Win 27.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga1.97
Auda1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Riga Riga
WWDLW
111 GF / 48 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
55 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
2.58
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
28
BTTS Yes
17
33
Over 2.5
17
3.75
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Riga Riga 43 matches
Auda Auda 36 matches
Riga Statistic Auda
29 Wins 21
9 Draws 7
5 Losses 8
111 Goals For 55
48 Goals Against 38
2.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
28 BTTS Yes 17
39 Over 1.5 26
33 Over 2.5 17
23 Over 3.5 8
14 Clean Sheets 15
3 Failed To Score 6
3.75 Shots On Goal 0
7 Total Shots 0
4.38 Corners 0.2
34.9% Ball Possession 15%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Auda. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Auda look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Riga Analysis

Riga come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 65 points after 27 matches. The return of 20 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 81:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Auda Analysis

Auda come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 53 points after 27 matches. They have recorded 16 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a 44:27 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 12 times, Auda won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:12 from Riga's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Riga 4-2-3-1 / Auda 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Riga wins 12, draws 2, Auda wins 1

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Riga Home
31 22 7 2 86:30 56 73
W W D D L
2 29 23 4 2 70:21 49 73
W D W D W
3
Auda Away
30 18 6 6 48:29 19 60
W D W D W
4 31 12 7 12 41:43 -2 43
D D D W L
5 31 10 9 12 35:35 0 39
D L D L D
6 30 10 5 15 29:40 -11 35
L L W W D
7 31 8 8 15 32:49 -17 32
L D L W W
8 31 5 11 15 21:52 -31 26
D D L W L
9 31 5 9 17 44:61 -17 24
D L W L L
10 31 4 6 21 30:76 -46 18
W L D L L