LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
4 - 1
Skonto stadions
Referee: E. Malcevs
Riga
Match Timeline
Auda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
10'
N. Purins
Auda
🟨
10'
D. Zanetti
Auda
🔄
13'
W. Fofana ↔ R. Sturins
Auda
20'
O. Galo · Assist: M. Badamosi
Riga
22'
I. Kone · Assist: J. Vergara
Auda
35'
S. Oulad M'Hand
Riga
52'
M. Badamosi · Assist: R. Jurkovskis
Riga
🔄
54'
O. Rubenis ↔ S. Aranda
Auda
🔄
54'
D. Melniks ↔ R. Kragliks
Auda
🔄
55'
T. Hrvoj ↔ A. Ogunji
Auda
🟨
57'
M. Diop
Riga
🔄
60'
M. Diop ↔ Caio Ferreira
Riga
🔄
60'
Iago Siqueira ↔ Juan Christian
Riga
🔄
66'
E. Bongemba ↔ K. Kone
Auda
🔄
75'
M. Badamosi ↔ Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
🟨
76'
O. Galo
Riga
🟨
80'
Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
🟨
80'
A. Arroyo
Auda
🟨
80'
J. Vergara
Auda
🟨
81'
Paulo Eduardo
Riga
🟥
82'
S. Aranda
Auda
🔄
85'
Paulo Eduardo ↔ M. Tonisevs
Riga
🔄
85'
O. Galo ↔ K. Wassom
Riga
🟨
90+5'
Caio Ferreira
Riga
90'
Caio Ferreira · Assist: S. Oulad M'Hand
Riga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 91.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
91.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Riga Win 47.4%
Draw 10.7%
Auda Win 41.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga2.1
Auda1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Riga Riga
WWDLW
50 GF / 23 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
27 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2.78
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
13
BTTS Yes
9
16
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Riga Riga 18 matches
Auda Auda 15 matches
Riga Statistic Auda
12 Wins 9
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 3
50 Goals For 27
23 Goals Against 16
2.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
13 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 12
16 Over 2.5 9
10 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Auda having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Auda. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Riga Analysis

Riga approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 26 points after 11 outings. The return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 36:13, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Badamosi (7 goals), Iago Siqueira (6 goals), J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), with creative support from Reginaldo Ramires (5 assists), A. Salazar (5 assists), R. Savalnieks (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Auda Analysis

Auda come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 25 points after 11 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 25:12 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on J. Vergara (10 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), W. Fofana (3 goals), with creative support from E. Daskevics (4 assists), T. Hrvoj (4 assists), E. Bongemba (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 12 times, Auda won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:12 from Riga's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
H2H summary: Riga wins 12, draws 2, Auda wins 1

Lineups

Riga
Formation
Auda
K. Zviedris
K. Zviedris
R. Jurkovskis
🎯
R. Jurkovskis
A. Cernomordijs
A. Cernomordijs
B. Musah
B. Musah
Paulo Eduardo
Paulo Eduardo
A. Ankrah
A. Ankrah
M. Diop
M. Diop
O. Galo
O. Galo
S. Oulad M'Hand
🎯
S. Oulad M'Hand
M. Badamosi
🎯
M. Badamosi
Iago Siqueira
Iago Siqueira
N. Purins
N. Purins
T. Hrvoj
T. Hrvoj
A. Arroyo
A. Arroyo
D. Melniks
D. Melniks
O. Rubenis
O. Rubenis
Y. Traore
Y. Traore
W. Fofana
W. Fofana
I. Kone
I. Kone
E. Bongemba
E. Bongemba
J. Gerold
J. Gerold
J. Vergara
🎯
J. Vergara
Riga 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
K. Zviedris
13
R. Jurkovskis
🎯 52'
34
A. Cernomordijs
21
B. Musah
33
Paulo Eduardo
↓ 85' 🟨 81'
40
A. Ankrah
22
M. Diop
↓ 60' 🟨 57'
4
O. Galo
⚽ 20' ↓ 85' 🟨 76'
18
S. Oulad M'Hand
⚽ 35' 🎯 90'
19
M. Badamosi
⚽ 52' 🎯 20' ↓ 75'
8
Iago Siqueira
↓ 60'
Substitutes
12
K. Zommers
91
F. Orols
23
M. Tonisevs
↑ 85'
29
E. Maurs-Boks
99
Caio Ferreira
⚽ 90' ↑ 60' 🟨 90+5'
5
K. Wassom
↑ 85'
10
Reginaldo Ramires
↑ 75' 🟨 80'
70
Juan Christian
↑ 60'
11
B. Pena
Auda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
98
N. Purins
🟥 10'
2
T. Hrvoj
↓ 55'
18
A. Arroyo
🟨 80'
21
D. Melniks
↓ 54'
71
O. Rubenis
↓ 54'
20
Y. Traore
10
W. Fofana
↓ 13'
79
I. Kone
⚽ 22'
8
E. Bongemba
↓ 66'
46
J. Gerold
7
J. Vergara
🎯 22' 🟨 80'
Substitutes
1
R. Sturins
↑ 13'
22
A. Ogunji
↑ 55'
9
M. Diagne
80
S. Aranda
↑ 54' 🟥 82'
6
R. Kragliks
↑ 54'
11
O. Camara
26
H. Lusweki
47
K. Kone
↑ 66'
23
M. Fofana
Last matches: Riga
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
09.04.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
3
D
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Riga
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
1
W
14.03.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
4
2
W
07.03.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.02.26
Fri
Riga
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
27.01.26
Fri
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
Last matches: Auda
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H: Riga vs Auda
12.05.26
H2H
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
20.03.26
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
2
W
17.02.26
H2H
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
29.10.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
2
L
13.09.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
6
0
W
27.06.25
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
3
W
05.05.25
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
3
W
10.03.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
2
2
D
14.09.24
H2H
Auda
Riga
2
2
D
26.06.24
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
W
05.05.24
H2H
Auda
Riga
1
2
W
16.03.24
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
W
30.09.23
H2H
Auda
Riga
0
1
W
21.08.23
H2H
Auda
Riga
0
4
W
08.07.23
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
W
Last matches: Riga
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
09.04.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
3
D
14.03.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
4
2
W
27.01.26
Fri
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Riga
Žilina
3
2
W
27.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
3
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Riga
Dila
2
1
W
H2H at home: Riga
12.05.26
H2H
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
17.02.26
H2H
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
29.10.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
2
L
13.09.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
6
0
W
10.03.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
2
2
D
26.06.24
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
W
16.03.24
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
W
08.07.23
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
W
Last matches: Auda
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
0
0
D
H2H away: Auda
12.05.26
H2H
Riga
Auda
4
1
L
17.02.26
H2H
Riga
Auda
4
1
L
29.10.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
2
W
13.09.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
6
0
L
10.03.25
H2H
Riga
Auda
2
2
D
26.06.24
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
L
16.03.24
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
L
08.07.23
H2H
Riga
Auda
1
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 38:11 27 43
?
2
Riga Home
16 12 3 1 50:17 33 39
?
3
Auda Away
16 11 1 4 32:20 12 34
?
4 16 6 4 6 21:23 -2 22
?
5 16 6 2 8 18:23 -5 20
?
6 16 5 3 8 19:24 -5 18
?
7 16 3 6 7 12:30 -18 15
?
8 16 2 7 7 29:30 -1 13
?
9 16 2 7 7 10:26 -16 13
?
10 16 0 4 12 13:38 -25 4
?