WORLD UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
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Skonto stadions
Referee: B. Csonka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.5%
1.22
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.88
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
2.75
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Riga Win 47.5%
Draw 11.5%
Ararat-Armenia Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga1.94
Ararat-Armenia1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Riga Riga
WWDLW
79 GF / 31 GA
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
WLDWL
16 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.63
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
18
BTTS Yes
5
24
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Riga Riga 30 matches
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 10 matches
Riga Statistic Ararat-Armenia
21 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 2
79 Goals For 16
31 Goals Against 9
2.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
18 BTTS Yes 5
28 Over 1.5 7
24 Over 2.5 3
15 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Riga won 0 times, Ararat-Armenia won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Riga's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Riga 4-3-2-1 / Ararat-Armenia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Riga wins 0, draws 0, Ararat-Armenia wins 1
Last matches: Riga
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
09.04.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
3
D
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
Last matches: Ararat-Armenia
07.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Vojvodina
1
1
D
20.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Mura
1
1
D
27.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
3
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
0
4
L
06.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
4
0
W
20.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
4
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
HIK
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Hørsholm-Usserød
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Banga
2
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Lyngby
0
1
L
H2H: Riga vs Ararat-Armenia
07.07.26
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
0
L
Last matches: Riga
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
09.04.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
3
D
14.03.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
4
2
W
27.01.26
Fri
Riga
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Riga
Žilina
3
2
W
27.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
3
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Riga
Dila
2
1
W
Last matches: Ararat-Armenia
17.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
2
0
W
20.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
4
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Banga
2
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Lyngby
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Vejle
3
2
W
25.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
0
1
L
21.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
2
1
W
19.10.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
29.09.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
2
2
D
14.09.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
3
2
W
24.08.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
1
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Sparta Praha
1
4
L
04.08.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
0
0
D
31.07.25
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Universitatea Cluj
2
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.54
Draw 3.62
Home 1.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.28
Home 2.26
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.33
Over 2.0 1.42
Over 2.25 1.65
Over 2.5 1.88
Over 2.75 2.11
Over 3.0 2.52
Over 3.25 2.82
Under 1.75 3.19
Under 2.0 2.79
Under 2.25 2.20
Under 2.5 1.92
Under 2.75 1.70
Under 3.0 1.51
Under 3.25 1.40
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 3.60
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.20
Home 2.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.60
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 9.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 3.60
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.36
Draw 2.14
Home 2.27
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.66
Draw 2.55
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.14
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 1.75 1.32
Over 2.0 1.40
Over 2.25 1.66
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 2.75 2.03
Over 3.0 2.41
Over 3.25 2.67
Over 3.5 2.94
Over 3.75 3.58
Over 4.0 4.75
Over 4.25 5.09
Over 4.5 5.40
Over 4.75 6.60
Over 5.0 9.30
Over 5.5 11.50
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 0.75 8.00
Under 1.0 7.50
Under 1.25 4.50
Under 1.5 3.38
Under 1.75 3.01
Under 2.0 2.65
Under 2.25 2.19
Under 2.5 1.90
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.48
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.31
Under 3.75 1.21
Under 4.0 1.12
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.09
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 3.65
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.28
Home 2.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.25
Draw 2.60
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.63
Over 2.5 1.84
Over 2.75 2.07
Over 3.0 2.48
Over 3.25 2.75
Over 3.5 3.05
Over 3.75 3.70
Over 4.0 5.00
Over 4.25 5.30
Over 4.5 5.60
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.0 2.65
Under 2.25 2.12
Under 2.5 1.84
Under 2.75 1.65
Under 3.0 1.46
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.32
Under 3.75 1.22
Under 4.0 1.12
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.10