AUSTRIA BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Innviertel Arena
Referee: J. Semler
Ried
Match Timeline
Wolfsberger AC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
30'
Markus Pink
Wolfsberger AC
31'
A. Schopf
Wolfsberger AC
🔄
46'
D. Avdijaj ↔ D. Zukic
Wolfsberger AC
🟨
54'
Fabian Wohlmuth
Wolfsberger AC
🔄
55'
J. Mayer ↔ M. Rasner
Ried
🟨
56'
Nikolas Polster
Wolfsberger AC
🔄
69'
N. Bajlicz ↔ A. van Wyk
Ried
🔄
73'
M. Pink ↔ E. Kojzek
Wolfsberger AC
🔄
82'
J. Nasrawe ↔ S. Sane
Ried
🔄
82'
R. Renner ↔ B. Matic
Wolfsberger AC
🟨
87'
Nikki Havenaar
Ried
🟨
88'
Andreas Leitner
Ried
🔄
90+3'
E. Agyeman ↔ E. Kujovic
Wolfsberger AC
🔄
90+3'
A. Gattermayer ↔ E. Chukwu
Wolfsberger AC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ried Win 85%
Draw 0%
Wolfsberger AC Win 15%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ried1.36
Wolfsberger AC1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ried Ried
WWDLW
49 GF / 41 GA
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC
WLDWL
52 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
17
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
22
3.73
Shots on Goal
3.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ried Ried 35 matches
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 38 matches
Ried Statistic Wolfsberger AC
16 Wins 13
6 Draws 9
13 Losses 16
49 Goals For 52
41 Goals Against 49
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
17 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 22
8 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 12
3.73 Shots On Goal 3.59
12.13 Total Shots 10.94
4.23 Corners 4.09
48.5% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ried expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wolfsberger AC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wolfsberger AC having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wolfsberger AC.

Ried Analysis

Ried arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 28 points after 30 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 38:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Mutandwa (14 goals), M. Grosse (6 goals), A. Bajic (5 goals), with creative support from A. Bajic (4 assists), Philipp Pomer (4 assists), K. Mutandwa (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wolfsberger AC Analysis

Wolfsberger AC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 22 points after 30 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 38:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Pink (7 goals), D. Zukic (6 goals), A. Schopf (4 goals), with creative support from D. Zukic (10 assists), A. Schopf (5 assists), B. Matic (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ried won 4 times, Wolfsberger AC won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Ried's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ried 4-2-3-1 / Wolfsberger AC 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Ried wins 4, draws 5, Wolfsberger AC wins 6
Stats
Ried Ried
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 5
17 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 4
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 6
1 Shots off Goal 1
5 Blocked Shots 5
3 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 2
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
452 Total passes 228
368 Passes accurate 147
0.58 expected_goals 2.86
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ried
Formation
Wolfsberger AC
A. Leitner
A. Leitner
N. Havenaar
N. Havenaar
M. Sollbauer
M. Sollbauer
O. Steurer
O. Steurer
P. Pomer
P. Pomer
Y. Maart
Y. Maart
N. Bajlicz
N. Bajlicz
J. Nasrawe
J. Nasrawe
A. Bajic
A. Bajic
J. Mayer
J. Mayer
K. Mutandwa
K. Mutandwa
N. Polster
N. Polster
C. Diabate
C. Diabate
S. Piesinger
S. Piesinger
N. Wimmer
N. Wimmer
F. Wohlmuth
F. Wohlmuth
A. Schopf
A. Schopf
E. Agyeman
E. Agyeman
R. Renner
R. Renner
A. Gattermayer
A. Gattermayer
D. Avdijaj
D. Avdijaj
M. Pink
M. Pink
Ried 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
A. Leitner
🟨 88'
G
5
N. Havenaar
🟨 87'
D
23
M. Sollbauer
D
30
O. Steurer
D
17
P. Pomer
M
6
Y. Maart
M
28
N. Bajlicz
↓ 69'
M
19
J. Nasrawe
↓ 82'
M
12
A. Bajic
F
26
J. Mayer
↓ 55'
F
7
K. Mutandwa
F
Substitutes
36
M. Kostenbauer
G
3
J. Scherzer
D
25
D. Kirnbauer
D
13
P. Kiedl
F
24
C. Wernitznig
M
9
S. Sane
↑ 82'
F
8
M. Rasner
↑ 55'
M
29
A. van Wyk
↑ 69'
F
15
J. Boguo
F
Wolfsberger AC 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
12
N. Polster
🟨 56'
G
15
C. Diabate
D
8
S. Piesinger
D
37
N. Wimmer
D
31
F. Wohlmuth
🟨 54'
M
18
A. Schopf
⚽ 31'
M
34
E. Agyeman
↓ 90+3'
M
77
R. Renner
↓ 82'
M
7
A. Gattermayer
↓ 90+3'
F
10
D. Avdijaj
↓ 46'
F
32
M. Pink
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Gutlbauer
G
70
D. Djuric
2
B. Matic
↑ 82'
M
20
D. Zukic
↑ 46'
M
4
M. Morgenstern
M
23
E. Kujovic
↑ 90+3'
M
13
T. Gruber
D
9
E. Kojzek
↑ 73'
F
35
E. Chukwu
↑ 90+3'
D
Last matches: Ried
24.07.26
Cup
Ried
Dornbirn
5
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ried
Mlada Boleslav
0
4
L
17.07.26
Fri
Ried
Rot-Weiß Essen
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ried
Başakşehir
1
1
D
03.07.26
Fri
Ried
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
4
L
26.06.26
Fri
Ried
Austria Salzburg
2
2
D
25.05.26
Bun
Ried
Rapid Vienna
0
3
L
22.05.26
Bun
Ried
Rapid Vienna
2
1
W
19.05.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
0
2
L
02.05.26
Bun
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
0
W
25.04.26
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
0
1
L
21.04.26
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
2
1
W
17.04.26
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
1
1
D
11.04.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
0
D
03.04.26
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
3
2
W
27.03.26
Fri
Ried
WSPG Wels
2
1
W
21.03.26
Bun
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
3
L
18.03.26
Cup
Ried
Lask Linz
1
2
L
14.03.26
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
Last matches: Wolfsberger AC
20.07.26
Fri
Wolfsberger AC
Velden
4
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Wolfsberger AC
SV Kapfenberg
6
1
W
13.07.26
Fri
Wolfsberger AC
Hradec Králové
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Wolfsberger AC
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3
3
D
03.07.26
Fri
Wolfsberger AC
Admira Wacker
8
2
W
30.06.26
Fri
Wolfsberger AC
Železničar Pančevo
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Wolfsberger AC
Nyiregyhaza
2
0
W
19.05.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
1
2
L
16.05.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
WSG Wattens
2
0
W
04.05.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
SCR Altach
4
1
W
25.04.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
1
0
W
21.04.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
FC BW Linz
0
3
L
18.04.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
FC BW Linz
0
0
D
11.04.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
0
0
D
04.04.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
WSG Wattens
1
3
L
21.03.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
SCR Altach
1
1
D
14.03.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
0
2
L
08.03.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Lask Linz
1
3
L
01.03.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
2
2
D
21.02.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
0
2
L
H2H: Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
19.05.26
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
09.05.26
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
1
L
11.04.26
H2H
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
0
0
D
29.11.25
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
0
W
18.10.25
H2H
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
1
2
W
26.09.23
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
2
L
02.06.23
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
2
L
01.04.23
H2H
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
1
0
L
19.03.23
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
0
D
09.10.22
H2H
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
1
2
W
12.02.22
H2H
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
2
1
L
18.09.21
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
3
3
D
07.03.21
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
4
L
29.11.20
H2H
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
1
1
D
18.10.20
H2H
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
2
2
D
Last matches: Ried
17.07.26
Fri
Ried
Rot-Weiß Essen
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ried
Başakşehir
1
1
D
03.07.26
Fri
Ried
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
4
L
26.06.26
Fri
Ried
Austria Salzburg
2
2
D
22.05.26
Bun
Ried
Rapid Vienna
2
1
W
19.05.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
02.05.26
Bun
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
0
W
21.04.26
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
2
1
W
03.04.26
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
3
2
W
27.03.26
Fri
Ried
WSPG Wels
2
1
W
18.03.26
Cup
Ried
Lask Linz
1
2
L
14.03.26
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
08.03.26
Bun
Ried
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
14.02.26
Bun
Ried
Lask Linz
1
1
D
31.01.26
Cup
Ried
Rapid Vienna
3
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Ried
Austria Salzburg
4
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Ried
České Budějovice
2
0
W
13.12.25
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
3
0
W
29.11.25
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
0
W
08.11.25
Bun
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
1
W
H2H at home: Ried
19.05.26
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
09.05.26
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
1
L
29.11.25
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
0
W
26.09.23
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
2
L
02.06.23
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
2
L
19.03.23
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
0
D
18.09.21
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
3
3
D
07.03.21
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
4
L
Last matches: Wolfsberger AC
20.07.26
Fri
Wolfsberger AC
Velden
4
0
W
30.06.26
Fri
Wolfsberger AC
Železničar Pančevo
2
0
W
19.05.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
1
2
L
04.05.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
SCR Altach
4
1
W
21.04.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
FC BW Linz
0
3
L
04.04.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
WSG Wattens
1
3
L
14.03.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
0
2
L
08.03.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Lask Linz
1
3
L
21.02.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
0
2
L
15.02.26
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
FC BW Linz
1
2
L
14.12.25
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Red Bull Salzburg
1
2
L
29.11.25
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Ried
0
1
L
22.11.25
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
SCR Altach
1
3
L
29.10.25
Cup
Wolfsberger AC
SKU Amstetten
3
2
W
26.10.25
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
3
1
W
04.10.25
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
3
1
W
20.09.25
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
TSV Hartberg
2
2
D
16.09.25
Cup
Wolfsberger AC
SVG Reichenau
6
0
W
31.08.25
Bun
Wolfsberger AC
WSG Wattens
1
1
D
28.08.25
UEF
Wolfsberger AC
Omonia Nicosia
0
1
L
H2H away: Wolfsberger AC
19.05.26
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
L
09.05.26
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
1
W
29.11.25
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
0
L
26.09.23
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
2
W
02.06.23
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
2
W
19.03.23
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
0
D
18.09.21
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
3
3
D
07.03.21
H2H
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
4
W

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9
Ried Home
22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)