AUSTRIA BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Innviertel Arena
Referee: A. Talic
Ried
Match Timeline
FC BW Linz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
25'
Ante Bajić
Ried
29'
A. Bajic · Assist: K. Mutandwa
Ried
🟨
33'
Ante Bajić
Ried
🟨
45'
Joris Boguo
Ried
🔄
59'
J. Nasrawe ↔ J. Mayer
Ried
🔄
59'
J. Boguo ↔ F. Rossdorfer
Ried
🔄
59'
N. Bajlicz ↔ M. Rasner
Ried
🔄
68'
D. Reiter ↔ I. Dahlqvist
FC BW Linz
🟨
71'
Simon Seidl
FC BW Linz
🔄
77'
S. Seidl ↔ M. Fofana
FC BW Linz
🔄
77'
S. Pirkl ↔ D. Bumberger
FC BW Linz
🟨
78'
Fabio Strauss
FC BW Linz
81'
K. Mutandwa
Ried
🔄
83'
A. Bajic ↔ D. Kirnbauer
Ried
🔄
84'
N. Maier ↔ Joao Luiz
FC BW Linz
🔄
84'
Ronivaldo ↔ P. Mensah
FC BW Linz
🟨
89'
Oliver Steurer
Ried
🔄
89'
K. Mutandwa ↔ S. Sane
Ried

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ried Win 84.3%
Draw 0%
FC BW Linz Win 15.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ried1.4
FC BW Linz1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ried Ried
WWDLW
47 GF / 41 GA
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
WLDWL
45 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
17
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
18
3.72
Shots on Goal
3.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ried Ried 34 matches
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 33 matches
Ried Statistic FC BW Linz
15 Wins 10
6 Draws 5
13 Losses 18
47 Goals For 45
41 Goals Against 47
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
17 BTTS Yes 14
26 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 11
3.72 Shots On Goal 3.72
12.17 Total Shots 12.62
4.21 Corners 4.34
48.5% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ried expected to line up in 3-3-3-1 and FC BW Linz in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC BW Linz having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC BW Linz. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Ried Analysis

Ried come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 25 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 36:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Mutandwa (13 goals), Peter Kiedl (5 goals), A. Bajic (4 goals), with creative support from A. Bajic (4 assists), Philipp Pomer (4 assists), A. van Wyk (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC BW Linz Analysis

FC BW Linz approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 20 points after 29 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 17 losses, with a 36:43 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Ronivaldo (9 goals), S. Weissman (9 goals), S. Seidl (7 goals), with creative support from S. Pirkl (5 assists), S. Seidl (4 assists), D. Bumberger (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ried won 7 times, FC BW Linz won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Ried's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ried 3-3-3-1 / FC BW Linz 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Ried wins 7, draws 4, FC BW Linz wins 4
Stats
Ried Ried
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 9
8 Fouls 12
6 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
309 Total passes 314
221 Passes accurate 217
2.09 expected_goals 0.63
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ried
Formation
FC BW Linz
A. Leitner
A. Leitner
P. Pomer
P. Pomer
N. Havenaar
N. Havenaar
M. Sollbauer
M. Sollbauer
O. Steurer
O. Steurer
Y. Maart
Y. Maart
N. Bajlicz
N. Bajlicz
A. Bajic
A. Bajic
J. Nasrawe
J. Nasrawe
J. Boguo
J. Boguo
K. Mutandwa
🎯
K. Mutandwa
N. Mantl
N. Mantl
A. Pasic
A. Pasic
M. Maranda
M. Maranda
F. Strauss
F. Strauss
D. Reiter
D. Reiter
N. Maier
N. Maier
S. Seidl
S. Seidl
A. Briedl
A. Briedl
S. Pirkl
S. Pirkl
Ronivaldo
Ronivaldo
S. Weissman
S. Weissman
Ried 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Leitner
G
17
P. Pomer
D
5
N. Havenaar
D
23
M. Sollbauer
D
30
O. Steurer
🟨 89'
D
6
Y. Maart
M
28
N. Bajlicz
↓ 59'
M
12
A. Bajic
⚽ 29' ↓ 83' 🟨 33'
M
19
J. Nasrawe
↓ 59'
M
15
J. Boguo
↓ 59' 🟨 45'
M
7
K. Mutandwa
⚽ 81' 🎯 29' ↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
36
M. Kostenbauer
G
3
J. Scherzer
D
25
D. Kirnbauer
↑ 83'
D
26
J. Mayer
↑ 59'
M
13
P. Kiedl
F
18
F. Rossdorfer
↑ 59'
M
24
C. Wernitznig
M
9
S. Sane
↑ 89'
F
8
M. Rasner
↑ 59'
M
FC BW Linz 3-5-2
Starting XI
58
N. Mantl
G
17
A. Pasic
D
15
M. Maranda
D
2
F. Strauss
🟨 78'
D
29
D. Reiter
↓ 68'
M
30
N. Maier
↓ 84'
M
20
S. Seidl
↓ 77' 🟨 71'
M
19
A. Briedl
M
60
S. Pirkl
↓ 77'
M
9
Ronivaldo
↓ 84'
F
18
S. Weissman
F
Substitutes
24
T. Turner
G
14
C. Cvetko
M
11
Joao Luiz
↑ 84'
M
5
I. Dahlqvist
↑ 68'
M
6
M. Fofana
↑ 77'
M
22
D. Riegler
D
16
M. Moormann
D
23
D. Bumberger
↑ 77'
D
10
P. Mensah
↑ 84'
F
Last matches: Ried
26.06.26
Fri
Ried
Austria Salzburg
2
2
D
25.05.26
Bun
Ried
Rapid Vienna
0
3
L
22.05.26
Bun
Ried
Rapid Vienna
2
1
W
19.05.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
0
2
L
09.05.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
1
L
25.04.26
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
0
1
L
21.04.26
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
2
1
W
17.04.26
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
1
1
D
11.04.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
0
D
03.04.26
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
3
2
W
27.03.26
Fri
Ried
WSPG Wels
2
1
W
21.03.26
Bun
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
3
L
18.03.26
Cup
Ried
Lask Linz
1
2
L
14.03.26
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
08.03.26
Bun
Ried
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
01.03.26
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
1
2
L
22.02.26
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
1
1
D
14.02.26
Bun
Ried
Lask Linz
1
1
D
08.02.26
Bun
Ried
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
Last matches: FC BW Linz
16.05.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
0
3
L
09.05.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
1
1
D
24.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
3
0
W
21.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Wolfsberger AC
3
0
W
18.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Wolfsberger AC
0
0
D
11.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
5
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
2
L
21.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Ried
3
2
W
14.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
1
3
L
08.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
TSV Hartberg
1
1
D
01.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
2
3
L
22.02.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
15.02.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
08.02.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
0
1
L
30.01.26
Cup
FC BW Linz
Lask Linz
2
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
Admira Wacker
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
Cukaricki
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
Zlin
0
0
D
10.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
WSPG Wels
2
2
D
14.12.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Rapid Vienna
1
1
D
H2H: Ried vs FC BW Linz
02.05.26
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
0
W
21.03.26
H2H
FC BW Linz
Ried
3
2
L
08.11.25
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
1
W
23.08.25
H2H
FC BW Linz
Ried
0
2
W
06.09.23
H2H
FC BW Linz
Ried
2
0
L
14.01.23
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
1
D
05.09.20
H2H
FC BW Linz
Ried
0
0
D
26.06.20
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
3
L
29.09.19
H2H
FC BW Linz
Ried
2
3
W
29.05.19
H2H
FC BW Linz
Ried
0
1
W
09.11.18
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
3
L
04.05.18
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
0
W
09.03.18
H2H
FC BW Linz
Ried
2
2
D
13.10.17
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
1
W
11.08.17
H2H
FC BW Linz
Ried
1
1
D
Last matches: Ried
26.06.26
Fri
Ried
Austria Salzburg
2
2
D
22.05.26
Bun
Ried
Rapid Vienna
2
1
W
19.05.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
1
L
21.04.26
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
2
1
W
03.04.26
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
3
2
W
27.03.26
Fri
Ried
WSPG Wels
2
1
W
18.03.26
Cup
Ried
Lask Linz
1
2
L
14.03.26
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
08.03.26
Bun
Ried
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
14.02.26
Bun
Ried
Lask Linz
1
1
D
31.01.26
Cup
Ried
Rapid Vienna
3
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Ried
Austria Salzburg
4
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Ried
České Budějovice
2
0
W
13.12.25
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
3
0
W
29.11.25
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
0
W
08.11.25
Bun
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
1
W
26.10.25
Bun
Ried
Rapid Vienna
0
2
L
04.10.25
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
2
0
W
27.09.25
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
0
0
D
H2H at home: Ried
02.05.26
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
0
W
08.11.25
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
1
W
14.01.23
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
1
D
26.06.20
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
3
L
09.11.18
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
3
L
04.05.18
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
0
W
13.10.17
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
1
W
Last matches: FC BW Linz
09.05.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
1
1
D
18.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Wolfsberger AC
0
0
D
04.04.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
2
L
14.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
1
3
L
08.03.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
TSV Hartberg
1
1
D
22.02.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
08.02.26
Bun
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
0
1
L
30.01.26
Cup
FC BW Linz
Lask Linz
2
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
Zlin
0
0
D
10.01.26
Fri
FC BW Linz
WSPG Wels
2
2
D
29.11.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Grazer AK
1
3
L
08.11.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Ried
1
2
L
25.10.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
0
2
L
04.10.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Austria Vienna
1
0
W
21.09.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Lask Linz
0
2
L
30.08.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
2
D
27.08.25
Cup
FC BW Linz
Schwaz
3
0
W
17.08.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Wolfsberger AC
0
3
L
03.08.25
Bun
FC BW Linz
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
25.07.25
Cup
FC BW Linz
Treibach
3
0
W
H2H away: FC BW Linz
02.05.26
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
0
L
08.11.25
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
1
L
14.01.23
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
1
D
26.06.20
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
3
W
09.11.18
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
3
W
04.05.18
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
1
0
L
13.10.17
H2H
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
1
L

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9
Ried Home
22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)