BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Pernambuco
Retrô
Match Timeline
Treze
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
Israel
Retrô
50'
Sillas
Retrô
64'
Bruno Marques
Retrô

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Retrô Win 30%
Draw 21%
Treze Win 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Retrô1.15
Treze1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Retrô Retrô
WWDLW
10 GF / 15 GA
Treze Treze
WLDWL
18 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
2
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Retrô Retrô 9 matches
Treze Treze 9 matches
Retrô Statistic Treze
2 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 2
10 Goals For 18
15 Goals Against 11
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
6 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Treze's more proactive style and Retrô's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Treze. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Treze carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 17 points while Retrô sit 5 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Treze having the stronger overall control.

Retrô Analysis

Retrô arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 9 points after 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 10:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Radsley (4 goals), Bruno Marques (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Treze Analysis

Treze come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 17 points after 9 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 18:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Buba (4 goals), Jean Carlo (4 goals), Gustavo Petrocelli (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Retrô won 1 times, Treze won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Retrô's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79%)
H2H summary: Retrô wins 1, draws 0, Treze wins 1
Last matches: Retrô
31.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Serra Branca
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Lagarto
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Decisão
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Sergipe
0
1
L
04.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Sergipe
1
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Decisão
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Lagarto
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Serra Branca
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Treze
0
3
L
Last matches: Treze
04.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
3
1
W
06.06.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
04.04.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
3
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
07.07.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
19.06.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
3
L
H2H: Retrô vs Treze
14.06.26
H2H
Retrô
Treze
3
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Treze
Retrô
3
0
L
Last matches: Retrô
24.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Lagarto
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Decisão
2
1
W
04.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Sergipe
1
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Serra Branca
2
2
D
H2H at home: Retrô
14.06.26
H2H
Retrô
Treze
3
0
W
Last matches: Treze
04.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
3
1
W
06.06.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
08.06.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
0
4
L
H2H away: Treze
14.06.26
H2H
Retrô
Treze
3
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Treze Away
10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)