BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Pernambuco
Retrô
Match Timeline
Decisão
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
Tulio
Decisão
78'
Bruno Marques
Retrô
82'
Fernandinho
Retrô

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Retrô Win 30.2%
Draw 69.8%
Decisão Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Retrô1.37
Decisão1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Retrô Retrô
WWDLW
7 GF / 13 GA
Decisão Decisão
WLDWL
6 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
4
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Retrô Retrô 6 matches
Decisão Decisão 6 matches
Retrô Statistic Decisão
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 3
7 Goals For 6
13 Goals Against 10
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Decisão having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Decisão.

Retrô Analysis

Retrô approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 5 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 7:13 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Radsley (4 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Decisão Analysis

Decisão sit 6 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Tulio (5 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Retrô won 2 times, Decisão won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Retrô's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: Retrô wins 2, draws 1, Decisão wins 2
Last matches: Retrô
14.06.26
Ser
Retrô
Treze
3
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Serra Branca
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Lagarto
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Sergipe
0
1
L
04.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Sergipe
1
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Decisão
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Lagarto
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Serra Branca
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Treze
0
3
L
Last matches: Decisão
14.06.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
0
1
L
06.06.26
Ser
Decisão
Treze
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
3
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Treze
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Retrô
3
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
1
1
D
04.01.26
Fri
Decisão
Confiança
1
0
W
H2H: Retrô vs Decisão
17.05.26
H2H
Retrô
Decisão
2
1
W
26.04.26
H2H
Decisão
Retrô
3
2
L
31.01.26
H2H
Retrô
Decisão
0
1
L
16.02.25
H2H
Retrô
Decisão
1
1
D
20.02.20
H2H
Decisão
Retrô
2
5
W
Last matches: Retrô
14.06.26
Ser
Retrô
Treze
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Lagarto
1
1
D
04.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Sergipe
1
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Serra Branca
2
2
D
H2H at home: Retrô
17.05.26
H2H
Retrô
Decisão
2
1
W
31.01.26
H2H
Retrô
Decisão
0
1
L
16.02.25
H2H
Retrô
Decisão
1
1
D
Last matches: Decisão
14.06.26
Ser
Decisão
Lagarto
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Decisão
Treze
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Serra Branca
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Decisão
Sergipe
1
2
L
H2H away: Decisão
17.05.26
H2H
Retrô
Decisão
2
1
L
31.01.26
H2H
Retrô
Decisão
0
1
W
16.02.25
H2H
Retrô
Decisão
1
1
D

Standings

Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)