URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Complejo Rentistas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.93
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.9%
1.33
BTTS Yes
71%
1.93
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.40
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Rentistas Win 37.1%
Draw 20.6%
Cerrito Win 42.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rentistas1.16
Cerrito1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rentistas Rentistas
WWDLW
17 GF / 18 GA
Cerrito Cerrito
WLDWL
23 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
10
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rentistas Rentistas 16 matches
Cerrito Cerrito 16 matches
Rentistas Statistic Cerrito
6 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
5 Losses 3
17 Goals For 23
18 Goals Against 21
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
10 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Cerrito's more proactive style and Rentistas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cerrito. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cerrito having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Rentistas Analysis

Rentistas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 14 points after 10 matches. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:13, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cerrito Analysis

Placed 2 with 18 points from 10 outings, Cerrito continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 15:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rentistas won 6 times, Cerrito won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:11 from Rentistas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.4%)
H2H summary: Rentistas wins 6, draws 3, Cerrito wins 6
Last matches: Rentistas
12.07.26
Seg
Rentistas
Atenas
3
1
W
04.07.26
Seg
Rentistas
Paysandu
1
2
L
27.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Sportivo Huracan
2
1
W
21.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
13.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Oriental
0
3
L
07.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Colón
0
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
Fenix
1
1
D
23.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
CA River Plate
1
2
L
17.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
Miramar
1
0
W
10.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
29.04.26
Seg
Rentistas
Miramar
1
1
D
20.04.26
Seg
Rentistas
Oriental
1
2
L
10.04.26
Seg
Rentistas
Paysandu
1
0
W
28.03.26
Seg
Rentistas
Colón
2
1
W
23.03.26
Seg
Rentistas
CA River Plate
1
1
D
14.03.26
Seg
Rentistas
Plaza Colonia
0
0
D
24.10.25
Seg
Rentistas
Oriental
1
2
L
17.10.25
Seg
Rentistas
Uruguay Montevideo
1
3
L
12.10.25
Seg
Rentistas
Albion FC
1
4
L
03.10.25
Seg
Rentistas
Fenix
0
0
D
Last matches: Cerrito
12.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Miramar
1
0
W
05.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
0
0
D
28.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
21.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
CA River Plate
4
6
L
07.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
2
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Paysandu
1
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
16.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
2
D
10.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
2
2
D
25.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
1
4
L
06.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
29.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
3
1
W
26.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Colón
0
1
L
19.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
12.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
2
3
L
05.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
H2H: Rentistas vs Cerrito
20.08.25
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
0
1
L
31.05.25
H2H
Cerrito
Rentistas
1
2
W
27.04.25
H2H
Cerrito
Rentistas
1
0
L
18.08.24
H2H
Cerrito
Rentistas
0
2
W
18.05.24
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
0
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
0
W
12.11.23
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
1
D
25.06.23
H2H
Cerrito
Rentistas
1
0
L
24.03.23
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
0
0
D
27.08.22
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
3
0
W
11.03.22
H2H
Cerrito
Rentistas
2
1
L
29.10.21
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
2
L
05.07.21
H2H
Cerrito
Rentistas
0
1
W
20.08.19
H2H
Cerrito
Rentistas
1
1
D
11.05.19
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
0
W
Last matches: Rentistas
04.07.26
Seg
Rentistas
Paysandu
1
2
L
21.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
07.06.26
Seg
Rentistas
Colón
0
2
L
23.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
CA River Plate
1
2
L
17.05.26
Seg
Rentistas
Miramar
1
0
W
29.04.26
Seg
Rentistas
Miramar
1
1
D
20.04.26
Seg
Rentistas
Oriental
1
2
L
14.03.26
Seg
Rentistas
Plaza Colonia
0
0
D
17.10.25
Seg
Rentistas
Uruguay Montevideo
1
3
L
03.10.25
Seg
Rentistas
Fenix
0
0
D
20.09.25
Seg
Rentistas
Atenas
2
0
W
07.09.25
Seg
Rentistas
Tacuarembo
3
1
W
20.08.25
Seg
Rentistas
Cerrito
0
1
L
09.08.25
Seg
Rentistas
Deportivo Maldonado
3
0
W
01.08.25
Seg
Rentistas
Oriental
2
0
W
19.07.25
Seg
Rentistas
Albion FC
2
2
D
05.07.25
Seg
Rentistas
Rampla Juniors
1
0
W
21.06.25
Seg
Rentistas
Central Espanol
1
1
D
07.06.25
Seg
Rentistas
Artigas
0
0
D
04.06.25
Seg
Rentistas
La Luz
3
2
W
H2H at home: Rentistas
20.08.25
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
0
1
L
18.05.24
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
0
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
0
W
12.11.23
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
1
D
24.03.23
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
0
0
D
27.08.22
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
3
0
W
29.10.21
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
2
L
11.05.19
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
0
W
Last matches: Cerrito
05.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
0
0
D
21.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
CA River Plate
4
6
L
30.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Paysandu
1
0
W
16.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
2
D
10.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
2
2
D
25.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
12.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
1
4
L
29.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
26.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Colón
0
1
L
27.09.25
Seg
Cerrito
Albion FC
0
0
D
14.09.25
Seg
Cerrito
Rampla Juniors
0
0
D
20.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
Rentistas
1
0
W
09.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
Artigas
2
2
D
27.07.25
Seg
Cerrito
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
21.07.25
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
1
1
D
12.07.25
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
0
0
D
29.06.25
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
2
3
L
15.06.25
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
0
3
L
09.06.25
Seg
Cerrito
Central Espanol
0
3
L
H2H away: Cerrito
20.08.25
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
0
1
W
18.05.24
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
0
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
0
L
12.11.23
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
1
D
24.03.23
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
0
0
D
27.08.22
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
3
0
L
29.10.21
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
2
W
11.05.19
H2H
Rentistas
Cerrito
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.60
Draw 2.91
Away 2.76
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.44
Under 1.5 2.63
Over 1.75 1.57
Under 1.75 2.32
Over 2.0 1.81
Under 2.0 1.99
Over 2.25 2.11
Under 2.25 1.69
Over 2.5 2.40
Under 2.5 1.52
Over 2.75 2.85
Under 2.75 1.38
Over 1.25 1.28
Under 1.25 3.37
Over 3.0 3.44
Under 3.0 1.27
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.50
Draw 3.10
Away 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.40
Draw 1.95
Away 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.52
Draw 2.88
Away 2.71
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.25
Draw 1.87
Away 3.55
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.88
Draw 2.19
Away 3.14
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.41
Under 1.5 2.52
Over 1.75 1.54
Under 1.75 2.28
Over 2.0 1.72
Under 2.0 1.91
Over 2.25 2.02
Under 2.25 1.69
Over 2.5 2.31
Under 2.5 1.53
Over 2.75 2.69
Under 2.75 1.36
Over 3.5 4.20
Under 3.5 1.15
Over 0.5 1.06
Under 0.5 6.70
Over 0.75 1.08
Under 0.75 5.67
Over 1.0 1.09
Under 1.0 5.25
Over 1.25 1.25
Under 1.25 3.28
Over 3.0 3.48
Under 3.0 1.22
Over 4.5 10.00
Under 4.5 1.05
Over 3.25 3.84
Under 3.25 1.18
Over 3.75 4.99
Under 3.75 1.10
Over 4.0 7.50
Under 4.0 1.03
Over 5.5 26.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.43
Draw 3.00
Away 2.63
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.95
Draw 2.12
Away 3.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.75
Draw 2.43
Away 2.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Under 1.5 3.05
Over 2.5 1.94
Under 2.5 1.70
Over 3.5 3.20
Under 3.5 1.27
Over 4.5 5.80
Under 4.5 1.08