FRANCE LIGUE 1
11.09.2026 18:45
Roazhon Park

Rennes vs Marseille Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.1%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rennes Win 71.1%
Draw 7.9%
Marseille Win 21%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rennes1.88
Marseille1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rennes Rennes
WWDLW
20 GF / 20 GA
Marseille Marseille
WLDWL
12 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.71
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
10
BTTS Yes
4
10
Over 2.5
6
5.33
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rennes Rennes 10 matches
Marseille Marseille 7 matches
Rennes Statistic Marseille
4 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
4 Losses 4
20 Goals For 12
20 Goals Against 12
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
10 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 7
10 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
5.33 Shots On Goal 5
16 Total Shots 13.67
4.67 Corners 5
50.3% Ball Possession 63.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rennes won 4 times, Marseille won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:22 from Rennes's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Rennes 4-3-3 / Marseille 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rennes wins 4, draws 2, Marseille wins 9

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 5:1 4 9
W W W
2 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W W D
3 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W D W
4 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
W D W
5 3 2 1 0 7:5 2 7
W W D
6 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
W W L
7 3 1 2 0 6:5 1 5
W D D
8 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
W L D
9 3 1 1 1 4:7 -3 4
L W D
10 3 1 0 2 6:5 1 3
L L W
11 3 1 0 2 6:5 1 3
L L W
12 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
L W L
13 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
L D D
14 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
D L D
15 3 0 2 1 1:4 -3 2
D L D
16 3 0 1 2 2:4 -2 1
L D L
17 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
L D L
18 3 0 0 3 4:11 -7 0
L L L
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