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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
11.10.2026 15:15
Roazhon Park
Referee: Willy Delajod
Rennes
Match Timeline
Auxerre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
Esteban Lepaul · Assist: Charlie Cresswell
Rennes
⚽
25'
Cameron Archer · Assist: Mamadou Diop
Auxerre
🟨
50'
Anthony Rouault
Rennes
⚽
53'
Adrien Thomasson · Assist: Bryan Reynolds
Rennes
🟨
59'
Adrien Thomasson
Rennes
🟨
59'
Esteban Lepaul
Rennes
🔄
67'
Adrien Thomasson ↔ Djaoui Cissé
Rennes
🔄
67'
Mousa Al-Tamari ↔ Eliezer Mayenda
Rennes
🔄
76'
Clément Akpa ↔ Elikya Legros
Auxerre
🔄
77'
Danny Namaso ↔ Remy Labeau Lascary
Auxerre
🔄
77'
Naouirou Ahamada ↔ Pierre Ekwah
Auxerre
🔄
77'
Esteban Lepaul ↔ Boulaye Dia
Rennes
🔄
77'
Issa Soumaré ↔ Ludovic Blas
Rennes
🔄
82'
Arthur Piedfort ↔ Aristide Zossou
Auxerre
🔄
85'
Mahamadou Nagida ↔ Przemysław Frankowski
Rennes
🔄
87'
Romain Faivre ↔ Youssef Khoudda
Auxerre
🟨
90'
Djaoui Cissé
Rennes
⚽
90+2'
Boulaye Dia · Assist: Ludovic Blas
Rennes
⚽
90+4'
Boulaye Dia · Assist: Bryan Reynolds
Rennes

Rennes vs Auxerre Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47.5%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47.5%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.47 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.15 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Rennes Win 47.5%
Draw 16.5%
Auxerre Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rennes1.66
Auxerre1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rennes Rennes
WWDLW
21 GF / 25 GA
Auxerre Auxerre
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
10
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
7
5.33
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rennes Rennes 14 matches
Auxerre Auxerre 11 matches
Rennes Statistic Auxerre
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
6 Losses 4
21 Goals For 20
25 Goals Against 21
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
10 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 9
11 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 0
5.33 Shots On Goal 5
17.33 Total Shots 12
4.83 Corners 6
52.8% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Auxerre arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rennes expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Auxerre in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Auxerre having the stronger overall control. Rennes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 10 points compared to Auxerre in 10 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Auxerre.

Rennes Analysis

Rennes approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 10 points after 5 outings. The return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 8:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through E. Lepaul (3 goals), A. Thomasson (1 goals), P. Frankowski (1 goals), with creative support from A. Thomasson (2 assists), P. Frankowski (1 assists), S. Szymański (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Auxerre Analysis

Auxerre sit 10 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:12 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Archer (3 goals), D. Namaso (1 goals), L. Sy (1 goals), with creative support from D. Namaso (1 assists), C. Makosso (1 assists), R. Faivre (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rennes won 4 times, Auxerre won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from Rennes's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.18 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Rennes 4-1-4-1 / Auxerre 3-4-3
Missing players: Rennes 0, Auxerre 7
H2H summary: Rennes wins 4, draws 4, Auxerre wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 10:5 5 14
D W D W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:4 5 13
W L W W D
3 6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
4 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L W D W W
5 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W W W L D
6 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
7 6 2 2 2 12:9 3 8
W L L W D
8 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
W L D W L
9 6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
10 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
11 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L W D L W
12 6 1 3 2 10:12 -2 6
L W D D L
13 6 1 3 2 9:11 -2 6
D W D L D
14 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
15 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 6 0 2 4 4:8 -4 2
L L D L D
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