MOROCCO BOTOLA PRO
07.05.2026 18:00
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Referee: J. Jayed
Renaissance Berkane
Match Timeline
UTS Rabat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
R. Aabid · Assist: P. Bassene
Renaissance Berkane
🟨
19'
Haytam Manaout
Renaissance Berkane
🟨
21'
Et-Tayeb Boukhriss
Renaissance Berkane
23'
M. Ashabi · Assist: H. Essadak
UTS Rabat
25'
N. Moustaghfir · Assist: F. Zahouani
UTS Rabat
🟨
28'
Rayane Aabid
Renaissance Berkane
🟨
38'
Yassine Zraa
UTS Rabat
40'
Y. Mehri · Assist: M. Chouiar
Renaissance Berkane
44'
P. Bassene · Assist: M. Chouiar
Renaissance Berkane
🔄
46'
T. Majni ↔ Y. Kajai
UTS Rabat
🟨
49'
Mehdi Ashabi
UTS Rabat
🔄
61'
Danny ↔ A. Chakir
UTS Rabat
🔄
62'
I. Riahi ↔ A. Azri
Renaissance Berkane
🔄
62'
Y. Zraa ↔ B. El Bahraoui
UTS Rabat
🔄
66'
H. Essadak ↔ M. Es Sahel
UTS Rabat
🟨
74'
Koffi Konan
UTS Rabat
🔄
75'
P. Bassene ↔ O. Lamlioui
Renaissance Berkane
🟨
80'
Mohamed Amine Essahel
UTS Rabat
81'
M. Ashabi · Assist: Y. Kajai
UTS Rabat
🟨
85'
Amine Azri
Renaissance Berkane
🔄
85'
R. Aabid ↔ O. Haddadi
Renaissance Berkane
🔄
85'
Y. Mehri ↔ M. El Morabit
Renaissance Berkane
🔄
85'
H. Manaout ↔ Z. Machach
Renaissance Berkane
88'
Z. Machach · Assist: O. Haddadi
Renaissance Berkane
🔄
90'
Y. Dahmani ↔ S. Lotfi
UTS Rabat

Renaissance Berkane vs UTS Rabat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
29.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
57.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Renaissance Berkane Win 70.6%
Draw 10.8%
UTS Rabat Win 18.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Renaissance Berkane1.46
UTS Rabat0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Renaissance Berkane Renaissance Berkane
WWDLW
26 GF / 17 GA
UTS Rabat UTS Rabat
WLDWL
17 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.94
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
11
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Renaissance Berkane Renaissance Berkane 18 matches
UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 18 matches
Renaissance Berkane Statistic UTS Rabat
8 Wins 1
7 Draws 10
3 Losses 7
26 Goals For 17
17 Goals Against 27
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
11 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Renaissance Berkane's more proactive style and UTS Rabat's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Renaissance Berkane expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and UTS Rabat in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward UTS Rabat having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring UTS Rabat. Renaissance Berkane arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 31 points compared to UTS Rabat in 14 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Renaissance Berkane Analysis

Renaissance Berkane come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 31 points from 18 matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 26:17 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Chouiar (7 goals), Y. Mehri (6 goals), O. Lamlioui (5 goals), with creative support from M. Chouiar (3 assists), H. El Moussaoui (3 assists), Y. Mehri (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

UTS Rabat Analysis

With 13 points from 18 games and a place of 14, UTS Rabat still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 17:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Y. Dahmani (7 goals), M. Essahel (2 goals), N. Moustaghfir (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Dahmani (2 assists), N. Moustaghfir (2 assists), M. Essahel (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Renaissance Berkane won 5 times, UTS Rabat won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:8 from Renaissance Berkane's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: Renaissance Berkane 3-4-1-2 / UTS Rabat 4-4-2
H2H summary: Renaissance Berkane wins 5, draws 3, UTS Rabat wins 0

Standings

Botola Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 11 3 40:17 23 59
W D W W L
2 30 16 9 5 44:27 17 57
W W L D W
3 30 16 8 6 39:19 20 56
W W D L W
4 30 13 16 1 45:22 23 55
D L D D W
5 30 13 4 13 39:33 6 43
L L L L L
6 30 9 13 8 30:34 -4 40
L D D W W
7 30 9 12 9 27:31 -4 39
W L D L W
8 30 9 10 11 31:36 -5 37
L D W L L
9 30 8 12 10 27:26 1 36
D D D W L
10 30 9 9 12 24:33 -9 36
L W D D L
11 30 8 9 13 28:37 -9 33
D D D D L
12 30 8 9 13 27:39 -12 33
D L D D W
13 30 6 13 11 32:40 -8 31
W D W W D
14 30 7 9 14 34:44 -10 30
W D L W W
15 30 7 9 14 29:40 -11 30
D D L D W
16 30 3 13 14 24:42 -18 22
L D D D L
CAF CL group stage
CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation