FRANCE LIGUE 2
18.09.2026 18:00
Stade Auguste-Delaune

Reims vs Montpellier Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.6%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Reims Win 49.6%
Draw 15.9%
Montpellier Win 34.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Reims1.81
Montpellier1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Reims Reims
WWDLW
26 GF / 14 GA
Montpellier Montpellier
WLDWL
21 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.17
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
9
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
5
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Reims Reims 12 matches
Montpellier Montpellier 11 matches
Reims Statistic Montpellier
6 Wins 7
5 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
26 Goals For 21
14 Goals Against 14
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
9 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 6
9 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 1
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.5
11.17 Total Shots 12.67
1.67 Corners 5.67
47.2% Ball Possession 56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Reims's more proactive style and Montpellier's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Montpellier. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Reims Analysis

Reims come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 9 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 12:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Fofana (4 goals), Y. El Kachati (2 goals), S. Kotto (1 goals), with creative support from D. Guindo (3 assists), Y. El Kachati (1 assists), A. Kashi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Montpellier Analysis

Placed 5 with 8 points from 5 outings, Montpellier continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 4:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Pays (1 goals), Y. Mouanga (1 goals), D. Meddah (1 goals), with creative support from T. Sainte-Luce (1 assists), Lacine Megnan-Pave (1 assists), N. Mukiele (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Reims won 6 times, Montpellier won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:12 from Reims's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Reims 4-2-3-1 / Montpellier 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Reims wins 6, draws 6, Montpellier wins 2

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 17:6 11 15
L W W W W
2
Reims Home
6 3 3 0 14:8 6 12
W D W W D
3 6 3 2 1 5:4 1 11
W L D W W
4 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L W D L W
5 5 2 3 0 8:4 4 9
W D D D W
6 6 2 3 1 3:4 -1 9
W D D W D
7 6 2 2 2 10:10 0 8
W D L L D
8 6 2 2 2 9:9 0 8
W D D L W
9 5 2 2 1 5:6 -1 8
W L D D W
10 6 2 1 3 4:4 0 7
L L W W L
11 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L L D W L
12 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
W L W L D
13 6 1 3 2 8:9 -1 6
W D L D L
14 6 0 5 1 2:3 -1 5
D D D D L
15 6 1 2 3 4:6 -2 5
L D D L W
16 6 0 5 1 3:5 -2 5
D D D D L
17 6 1 1 4 7:12 -5 4
L W D L L
18 6 1 1 4 7:13 -6 4
L L L D W
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3