FRANCE › LIGUE 2
09.05.2026 18:00
Stade Bauer
Referee: A. Petit
RED Star FC 93
Match Timeline
Montpellier
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Enzo Tchato Mbiayi
Montpellier
⚽
43'
K. Cabral · Assist: J. Ikanga
RED Star FC 93
🔄
60'
L. Mincarelli ↔ T. Sainte-Luce
Montpellier
🔄
60'
E. Molebe ↔ R. Thiland Herard
Montpellier
🟨
61'
Josue Escartin
RED Star FC 93
🔄
61'
N. Homssa ↔ N. Mbuku
Montpellier
🔄
64'
J. Ikanga ↔ H. Benali
RED Star FC 93
🔄
64'
K. Cabral ↔ A. Hachem
RED Star FC 93
🔄
68'
D. Durand ↔ G. Haag
RED Star FC 93
🔄
72'
E. Tchato ↔ N. El Hannach
Montpellier
🔄
73'
C. Jullien ↔ T. Savanier
Montpellier
🔄
79'
T. Magnin ↔ S. E. Khaoui
RED Star FC 93
🔄
79'
R. Hachem ↔ P. M. Ba
RED Star FC 93
⚽
88'
N. Pays
Montpellier

RED Star FC 93 vs Montpellier Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
RED Star FC 93 Win 60.7%
Draw 0%
Montpellier Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
RED Star FC 931.18
Montpellier1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93
WWDLW
47 GF / 37 GA
Montpellier Montpellier
WLDWL
51 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
16
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
12
4
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 34 matches
Montpellier Montpellier 38 matches
RED Star FC 93 Statistic Montpellier
16 Wins 18
10 Draws 8
8 Losses 12
47 Goals For 51
37 Goals Against 33
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
16 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 8
14 Clean Sheets 16
8 Failed To Score 11
4 Shots On Goal 4.06
11.88 Total Shots 11.67
4.72 Corners 5.36
54% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Montpellier. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with RED Star FC 93 expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Montpellier in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Montpellier having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

RED Star FC 93 Analysis

RED Star FC 93 come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 57 points after 33 matches. They have recorded 16 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with a 44:36 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on D. Durand (13 goals), Hacene Benali (6 goals), Jovany Ikanga (6 goals), with creative support from S. E. Khaoui (5 assists), K. Cisse (4 assists), D. Sylla (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Montpellier Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Montpellier have collected 50 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 40:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Mendy (12 goals), T. Savanier (5 goals), N. Mbuku (4 goals), with creative support from N. Mbuku (5 assists), A. Mendy (4 assists), T. Savanier (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, RED Star FC 93 won 0 times, Montpellier won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from RED Star FC 93's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: RED Star FC 93 3-5-2 / Montpellier 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: RED Star FC 93 wins 0, draws 2, Montpellier wins 0

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
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