AUSTRIA BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Red Bull Arena
Referee: S. Ebner
Red Bull Salzburg
Match Timeline
TSV Hartberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
M. Hoffmann · Assist: F. Wilfinger
TSV Hartberg
🟨
36'
Yorbe Vertessen
Red Bull Salzburg
42'
F. Wilfinger
TSV Hartberg
🔄
46'
K. Onisiwo ↔ K. Konate
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
46'
Y. Vertessen ↔ E. Baidoo
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
61'
D. Redzic ↔ E. Aguilar
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
70'
F. Kratzig ↔ A. Terzic
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
73'
P. Komposch ↔ K. Schopp
TSV Hartberg
🔄
73'
L. Pazourek ↔ D. Kovacevic
TSV Hartberg
🔄
73'
M. Hoffmann ↔ M. Fillafer
TSV Hartberg
🔄
76'
H. Coulibaly ↔ J. Golles
TSV Hartberg
🟨
78'
Lukas Spendlhofer
TSV Hartberg
83'
K. Alajbegovic · Assist: S. Lainer
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
87'
L. Fridrikas ↔ E. Ojukwu
TSV Hartberg
90'
D. Kovacevic · Assist: E. Ojukwu
TSV Hartberg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Red Bull Salzburg Win 53.3%
Draw 14.6%
TSV Hartberg Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Red Bull Salzburg1.53
TSV Hartberg1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
WWDLW
83 GF / 62 GA
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
WLDWL
46 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
30
BTTS Yes
18
28
Over 2.5
16
5.35
Shots on Goal
3.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 48 matches
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 34 matches
Red Bull Salzburg Statistic TSV Hartberg
20 Wins 11
10 Draws 13
18 Losses 10
83 Goals For 46
62 Goals Against 42
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
30 BTTS Yes 18
39 Over 1.5 22
28 Over 2.5 16
20 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 10
5.35 Shots On Goal 3.32
15.19 Total Shots 9.16
4.63 Corners 3.1
55.4% Ball Possession 39.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Red Bull Salzburg expected to line up in 4-3-3 and TSV Hartberg in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward TSV Hartberg having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors TSV Hartberg. TSV Hartberg arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Red Bull Salzburg Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 37 points after 22 matches. The record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 42:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Ratkov (9 goals), K. Alajbegovic (8 goals), Y. Vertessen (8 goals), with creative support from Frans Krätzig (6 assists), M. Kjaergaard (5 assists), S. Kitano (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

TSV Hartberg Analysis

TSV Hartberg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 33 points from 22 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 29:24, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through E. Havel (13 goals), L. Fridrikas (4 goals), M. Hoffmann (3 goals), with creative support from Tobias Kainz (5 assists), Maximilian Hennig (4 assists), E. Havel (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Red Bull Salzburg won 11 times, TSV Hartberg won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:13 from Red Bull Salzburg's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Red Bull Salzburg 4-3-3 / TSV Hartberg 5-4-1
H2H summary: Red Bull Salzburg wins 11, draws 3, TSV Hartberg wins 1
Stats
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
13 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 0
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Goal 6
12 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 5
11 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
501 Total passes 279
444 Passes accurate 209
1.84 expected_goals 1.05
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

TSV Hartberg
Formation
Red Bull Salzburg
T. Hulsmann
T. Hulsmann
J. Heil
J. Heil
P. Komposch
P. Komposch
L. Spendlhofer
L. Spendlhofer
H. Coulibaly
H. Coulibaly
L. Pazourek
L. Pazourek
F. Wilfinger
🎯
F. Wilfinger
B. Markus
B. Markus
T. Kainz
T. Kainz
L. Fridrikas
L. Fridrikas
M. Hoffmann
M. Hoffmann
A. Schlager
A. Schlager
S. Lainer
🎯
S. Lainer
A. Chase
A. Chase
T. Drexler
T. Drexler
F. Kratzig
F. Kratzig
S. Diabate
S. Diabate
Y. Vertessen
Y. Vertessen
S. Kitano
S. Kitano
K. Alajbegovic
K. Alajbegovic
D. Redzic
D. Redzic
K. Onisiwo
K. Onisiwo
TSV Hartberg 5-3-2
Starting XI
40
T. Hulsmann
G
28
J. Heil
D
14
P. Komposch
↓ 73'
D
19
L. Spendlhofer
🟨 78'
D
6
H. Coulibaly
↓ 76'
D
2
L. Pazourek
↓ 73'
D
18
F. Wilfinger
⚽ 42' 🎯 22'
M
4
B. Markus
M
23
T. Kainz
M
30
L. Fridrikas
↓ 87'
F
22
M. Hoffmann
⚽ 22' ↓ 73'
Substitutes
21
L. Maric
G
16
J. Golles
↑ 76'
D
20
P. Bratschko
M
27
K. Schopp
↑ 73'
D
95
D. Kovacevic
⚽ 90' ↑ 73'
D
77
D. Korherr
F
11
M. Fillafer
↑ 73'
F
17
J. Karner
M
25
E. Ojukwu
🎯 90' ↑ 87'
D
Red Bull Salzburg 4-4-1-1 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
A. Schlager
G
22
S. Lainer
🎯 83'
D
91
A. Chase
D
21
T. Drexler
D
13
F. Kratzig
↓ 70'
D
5
S. Diabate
M
11
Y. Vertessen
↓ 46' 🟨 36'
M
8
S. Kitano
M
27
K. Alajbegovic
⚽ 83'
M
24
D. Redzic
↓ 61'
M
9
K. Onisiwo
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
52
C. Zawieschitzky
G
3
A. Terzic
↑ 70'
D
19
K. Konate
↑ 46'
F
15
M. Diambou
M
49
M. K. Yeo
M
37
T. Trummer
M
43
E. Aguilar
↑ 61'
F
47
V. Zabransky
D
20
E. Baidoo
↑ 46'
F
Last matches: Red Bull Salzburg
25.07.26
Cup
Red Bull Salzburg
Oberwart
7
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Energie Cottbus
5
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Başakşehir
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Gamba Osaka
0
3
L
09.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Gornik Zabrze
2
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Seekirchen
5
0
W
10.05.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
1
2
L
03.05.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
26.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
22.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
3
1
W
19.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
3
1
W
10.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
2
3
L
05.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
2
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
0
W
20.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
15.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
08.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cup
Red Bull Salzburg
SCR Altach
0
1
L
01.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
0
0
D
Last matches: TSV Hartberg
18.07.26
Fri
TSV Hartberg
Voitsberg
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
TSV Hartberg
First Vienna
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
TSV Hartberg
Příbram
3
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
TSV Hartberg
Zbrojovka Brno
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
TSV Hartberg
Ujpest
1
1
D
01.07.26
Fri
TSV Hartberg
Weiz
2
3
L
27.06.26
Fri
TSV Hartberg
Admira Wacker
3
1
W
10.05.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Sturm Graz
2
4
L
03.05.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Austria Vienna
0
1
L
26.04.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Lask Linz
1
5
L
22.04.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Rapid Vienna
2
0
W
19.04.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Rapid Vienna
2
2
D
12.04.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Sturm Graz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
1
2
L
22.03.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Austria Vienna
0
1
L
13.03.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Lask Linz
0
0
D
08.03.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
FC BW Linz
1
1
D
01.03.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
0
0
D
21.02.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Grazer AK
1
0
W
14.02.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
0
0
D
H2H: Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg
17.05.26
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
1
3
L
05.04.26
H2H
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
1
2
W
01.03.26
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
0
0
D
16.08.25
H2H
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
1
2
W
04.12.24
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
4
0
W
30.11.24
H2H
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
12.05.24
H2H
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
1
5
W
17.03.24
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
5
1
W
25.11.23
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
3
2
W
01.11.23
H2H
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
1
5
W
29.10.22
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
1
0
W
06.08.22
H2H
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
0
2
W
04.12.21
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
2
1
W
28.08.21
H2H
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
W
Last matches: Red Bull Salzburg
15.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Başakşehir
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Gamba Osaka
0
3
L
09.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Gornik Zabrze
2
1
W
03.05.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
22.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
3
1
W
10.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
2
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
0
W
15.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cup
Red Bull Salzburg
SCR Altach
0
1
L
01.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
0
0
D
06.02.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
22.01.26
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
FC Basel 1893
3
1
W
15.01.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
FK Crvena Zvezda
2
0
W
06.01.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Bayern München
0
5
L
14.12.25
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
23.11.25
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
WSG Wattens
2
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
GO Ahead Eagles
2
0
W
02.11.25
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Ried
4
1
W
30.10.25
Cup
Red Bull Salzburg
WSG Wattens
3
1
W
H2H at home: Red Bull Salzburg
17.05.26
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
1
3
L
01.03.26
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
0
0
D
04.12.24
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
4
0
W
17.03.24
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
5
1
W
25.11.23
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
3
2
W
29.10.22
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
1
0
W
04.12.21
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
2
1
W
Last matches: TSV Hartberg
01.07.26
Fri
TSV Hartberg
Weiz
2
3
L
03.05.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Austria Vienna
0
1
L
22.04.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Rapid Vienna
2
0
W
12.04.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Sturm Graz
0
0
D
13.03.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Lask Linz
0
0
D
01.03.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
0
0
D
07.02.26
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Rapid Vienna
1
1
D
19.01.26
Fri
TSV Hartberg
Radomlje
2
1
W
15.01.26
Fri
TSV Hartberg
Dinamo Zagreb
2
1
W
08.11.25
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
28.10.25
Cup
TSV Hartberg
FC BW Linz
1
1
D
25.10.25
Bun
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
2
2
D
18.10.25
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Grazer AK
0
0
D
05.10.25
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Lask Linz
3
3
D
28.09.25
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
14.09.25
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Ried
2
0
W
27.08.25
Cup
TSV Hartberg
Velden
3
0
W
24.08.25
Bun
TSV Hartberg
Austria Vienna
3
1
W
09.08.25
Bun
TSV Hartberg
FC BW Linz
1
0
W
02.08.25
Bun
TSV Hartberg
WSG Wattens
2
4
L
H2H away: TSV Hartberg
17.05.26
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
1
3
W
01.03.26
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
0
0
D
04.12.24
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
4
0
L
17.03.24
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
5
1
L
25.11.23
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
3
2
L
29.10.22
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
1
0
L
04.12.21
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
2
1
L

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9 22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)