CHILE › PRIMERA B
03.10.2026 18:00
Recoleta
Match Timeline
Santiago Wanderers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
C. Gonzalez
Recoleta
⚽
45'
G. Estigarribia
Recoleta
🔄
46'
A. Dubo ↔ D. San Martin
Santiago Wanderers
🟨
46'
L. Navarro
Santiago Wanderers
⚽
54'
C. Ponce
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
55'
C. Valenzuela ↔ J. Luna
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
55'
I. Flores ↔ C. Silva
Santiago Wanderers
🟨
72'
I. Lara
Recoleta
🔄
75'
C. Gonzalez ↔ M. Arguinarena
Recoleta
🔄
75'
A. Herrera ↔ C. Villarroel
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
75'
J. Silva ↔ V. Vargas
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
86'
G. Alvarez ↔ N. Carvajal
Recoleta
🔄
86'
P. Sanchez ↔ R. Riveros
Recoleta
🟥
90+1'
C. Ponce
Santiago Wanderers
🟨
90+1'
G. Estigarribia
Recoleta
🟨
90+4'
M. Camarda
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
90+9'
G. Estigarribia ↔ F. Flores
Recoleta
🔄
90+9'
D. Viveros ↔ C. Cepeda
Recoleta

Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 44.2%
Odds 2.26
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.74
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
44.2%
2.26 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.74 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.03 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Recoleta Win 44.2%
Draw 15.3%
Santiago Wanderers Win 40.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Recoleta1.38
Santiago Wanderers1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Recoleta Recoleta
WWDLW
42 GF / 44 GA
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers
WLDWL
47 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
19
BTTS Yes
17
17
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Recoleta Recoleta 31 matches
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 31 matches
Recoleta Statistic Santiago Wanderers
11 Wins 13
10 Draws 8
10 Losses 10
42 Goals For 47
44 Goals Against 44
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
19 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 13
7 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Santiago Wanderers. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Santiago Wanderers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Recoleta Analysis

From their first 25 matches, Recoleta have collected 38 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 36:33 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Santiago Wanderers Analysis

Santiago Wanderers approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 44 points after 24 outings. With 12 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:25, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Recoleta won 3 times, Santiago Wanderers won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:8 from Recoleta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
Predicted formations: Recoleta - / Santiago Wanderers 4-3-3
H2H summary: Recoleta wins 3, draws 5, Santiago Wanderers wins 1

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 12 9 4 43:27 16 45
W D L W L
2 25 12 8 5 40:26 14 44
L L W W W
3 25 12 8 5 39:29 10 44
W W W W L
4 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
5 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
9 25 9 7 9 37:39 -2 34
W D L L L
10 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
11 25 8 8 9 40:35 5 32
D W L W L
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 25 5 7 13 16:42 -26 22
L L D D L
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W