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10.10.2026 15:30
Recoleta
Match Timeline
Magallanes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
M. Alegre
Magallanes
⚽
24'
P. Sanchez
Recoleta
⚽
33'
C. Jorquera
Magallanes
🔄
46'
I. Lara ↔ N. Carvajal
Recoleta
🔄
46'
H. Salinas Flores ↔ F. Yanez
Magallanes
🟨
47'
D. Viveros
Recoleta
🟨
55'
J. James
Magallanes
🔄
62'
F. Flores ↔ R. Riveros
Recoleta
🔄
63'
D. Viveros ↔ F. Tomarelli
Recoleta
🔄
63'
C. Gonzalez ↔ M. Arguinarena
Recoleta
🔄
65'
R. Farfan ↔ A. Toledo
Magallanes
🔄
65'
M. Alegre ↔ F. Peraza
Magallanes
🟨
67'
B. Provoste
Recoleta
🟨
73'
J. Quiroz
Magallanes
🔄
75'
J. Quiroz ↔ M. Osorio
Magallanes
🔄
75'
C. Jorquera ↔ G. Guzman
Magallanes
⚽
79'
N. Carvajal
Magallanes
🔄
81'
J. Espinoza ↔ F. Baez
Recoleta
🟨
90'
A. Walters
Magallanes

Recoleta vs Magallanes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Recoleta Win 54.3%
Draw 9.3%
Magallanes Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Recoleta1.51
Magallanes1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Recoleta Recoleta
W D W W D
6 GF / 3 GA
Magallanes Magallanes
W W D D L
5 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
20
BTTS Yes
23
18
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Recoleta Recoleta 32 matches
Magallanes Magallanes 33 matches
Recoleta Statistic Magallanes
12 Wins 12
10 Draws 7
10 Losses 14
44 Goals For 48
45 Goals Against 56
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
20 BTTS Yes 23
24 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 13
7 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Magallanes. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Magallanes having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Recoleta Analysis

Recoleta are currently 6 in the standings with 41 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 38:34 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Magallanes Analysis

Placed 4 with 43 points from 26 outings, Magallanes continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 42:38 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Recoleta won 1 times, Magallanes won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:15 from Recoleta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
H2H summary: Recoleta wins 1, draws 1, Magallanes wins 7

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 9 5 52:30 22 54
W W L W W
2 29 15 9 5 44:30 14 54
D W W W W
3 29 14 8 7 48:32 16 50
W W L L L
4 29 13 9 7 51:26 25 48
W D W W L
5 29 13 7 9 45:44 1 46
L L W W W
6 29 11 10 8 35:28 7 43
W D L W W
7 29 11 9 9 41:43 -2 42
D L L W D
8 29 11 8 10 43:42 1 41
D L W W W
9 29 11 6 12 34:37 -3 39
L W L L D
10 29 9 11 9 42:33 9 38
W D W W W
11 29 11 5 13 29:36 -7 38
W D L L L
12 29 9 9 11 45:41 4 36
L D W L D
13 29 7 10 12 26:46 -20 31
L D W L L
14 29 4 12 13 29:43 -14 24
D D L L D
15 29 5 8 16 19:53 -34 23
L D L L L
16 29 5 6 18 28:47 -19 21
L L W L L