CHILE › PRIMERA B
10.10.2026 15:30

Recoleta vs Magallanes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Recoleta Win 41.2%
Draw 22.7%
Magallanes Win 36.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Recoleta1.51
Magallanes1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Recoleta Recoleta
WWDLW
44 GF / 45 GA
Magallanes Magallanes
WLDWL
48 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
20
BTTS Yes
23
18
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Recoleta Recoleta 32 matches
Magallanes Magallanes 33 matches
Recoleta Statistic Magallanes
12 Wins 12
10 Draws 7
10 Losses 14
44 Goals For 48
45 Goals Against 56
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
20 BTTS Yes 23
24 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 13
7 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Magallanes. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Magallanes having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Recoleta Analysis

So far, Recoleta have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 38 points from 25 matches. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 36:33 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Magallanes Analysis

Magallanes arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 40 points after 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 41:38 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Recoleta won 1 times, Magallanes won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:15 from Recoleta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Recoleta - / Magallanes 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Recoleta wins 1, draws 1, Magallanes wins 7

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 44:27 17 48
W W D L W
2 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
L L L W W
3 25 12 8 5 39:29 10 44
W W W W L
4 26 12 7 7 42:38 4 43
W W D D L
5 26 11 8 7 38:34 4 41
W D W W D
6 26 10 9 7 33:24 9 39
W W L W L
7 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
8 26 10 7 9 40:39 1 37
W W D L L
9 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
10 26 10 4 12 26:34 -8 34
L L L W L
11 26 8 8 10 40:36 4 32
L D W L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 26 6 9 11 22:39 -17 27
L L W L D
14 26 4 10 12 27:40 -13 22
L D W D D
15 25 5 7 13 16:42 -26 22
L L D D L
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W