CHILE PRIMERA B
21.05.2026 19:00
Recoleta
Match Timeline
Cobreloa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
D. Viveros
Recoleta
11'
G. Estigarribia
Recoleta
🟨
16'
B. San Juan
Cobreloa
🔄
40'
M. Sandoval ↔ A. Delgado
Cobreloa
45'
G. Gotti
Cobreloa
🟨
48'
J. Espinoza
Recoleta
🟨
62'
A. Delgado
Cobreloa
65'
P. Sanchez
Recoleta
🟨
71'
B. Provoste
Recoleta
🔄
72'
C. Gonzalez ↔ M. Arguinarena
Recoleta
🔄
73'
F. Velazco ↔ Y. Navarro
Cobreloa
85'
C. Insaurralde
Cobreloa
🔄
87'
C. Insaurralde ↔ T. Aranguiz
Cobreloa
🔄
89'
B. Provoste ↔ F. Martin
Recoleta
🔄
89'
N. Carvajal ↔ G. Alvarez
Recoleta
🟨
90+3'
J. Gatica
Cobreloa
🟨
90+5'
F. Tomarelli
Recoleta

Recoleta vs Cobreloa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 23.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 22.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
23.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
22.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Recoleta Win 29.3%
Draw 15.4%
Cobreloa Win 55.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Recoleta1.44
Cobreloa1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Recoleta Recoleta
WWDLW
23 GF / 23 GA
Cobreloa Cobreloa
WLDWL
27 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
8
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Recoleta Recoleta 14 matches
Cobreloa Cobreloa 15 matches
Recoleta Statistic Cobreloa
7 Wins 7
1 Draws 5
6 Losses 3
23 Goals For 27
23 Goals Against 17
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
8 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Cobreloa's more proactive style and Recoleta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cobreloa. Recoleta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cobreloa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Recoleta Analysis

Recoleta sit 7 with 19 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 21:21 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Sanchez (4 goals), F. Baez (3 goals), G. Estigarribia (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cobreloa Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 24 points from 12 games, Cobreloa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 25:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Gotti (9 goals), S. Zuniga (5 goals), A. Delgado (3 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Recoleta won 0 times, Cobreloa won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:16 from Recoleta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: Recoleta - / Cobreloa 4-2-1-3
H2H summary: Recoleta wins 0, draws 1, Cobreloa wins 6

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 24 11 8 5 38:29 9 41
W W W L W
4 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
5 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
9 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
10 25 8 8 9 40:35 5 32
D W L W L
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W