BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio IV Centenario

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Tomayapo Win 35.9%
Draw 15.2%
Real Oruro Win 48.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Tomayapo1.44
Real Oruro2.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo
WWDLW
11 GF / 37 GA
Real Oruro Real Oruro
WLDWL
33 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
1.83
2.47
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
8
BTTS Yes
16
9
Over 2.5
16
1.54
Shots on Goal
2.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 15 matches
Real Oruro Real Oruro 18 matches
Real Tomayapo Statistic Real Oruro
2 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
10 Losses 9
11 Goals For 33
37 Goals Against 45
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
2.47 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
8 BTTS Yes 16
12 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 12
2 Clean Sheets 0
6 Failed To Score 2
1.54 Shots On Goal 2.62
4.69 Total Shots 7.77
1.77 Corners 2.69
21.8% Ball Possession 23.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Real Oruro. Real Tomayapo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Real Tomayapo Analysis

With 8 points from 11 games and a place of 16, Real Tomayapo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 8:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Oruro Analysis

Real Oruro sit 9 with 14 points after 11 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 22:27 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Real Tomayapo won 1 times, Real Oruro won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Real Tomayapo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: Real Tomayapo 4-2-3-1 / Real Oruro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Real Tomayapo wins 1, draws 1, Real Oruro wins 2
Last matches: Real Tomayapo
05.08.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Guabirá
0
3
L
31.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
ABB
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosí
1
4
L
20.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Blooming
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
07.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Aurora
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Bolívar
0
6
L
24.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
The Strongest
0
0
D
14.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Real Potosí
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Always Ready
0
4
L
01.03.26
Fri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
5
L
21.02.26
Fri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
14.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
12.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
The Strongest
1
0
W
08.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
4
5
L
03.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
0
W
28.11.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
2
5
L
Last matches: Real Oruro
04.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
ABB
1
4
L
01.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
0
3
L
25.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Guabirá
1
4
L
20.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Nacional Potosí
4
1
W
14.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Always Ready
0
6
L
11.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3
1
W
08.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
4
1
W
13.05.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Aurora
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Real Potosí
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
2
3
L
23.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Blooming
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Bolívar
2
5
L
25.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
1
4
L
10.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
4
3
W
27.02.26
Fri
Real Oruro
ABB
3
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Real Oruro
ABB
1
2
L
15.12.25
Pri
Real Oruro
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
5
L
11.12.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Nacional Potosí
1
2
L
H2H: Real Tomayapo vs Real Oruro
28.11.25
H2H
Real Oruro
Real Tomayapo
5
2
L
17.07.25
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
1
1
D
25.06.25
H2H
Real Oruro
Real Tomayapo
2
0
L
21.06.25
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
3
2
W
Last matches: Real Tomayapo
31.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
ABB
1
1
D
12.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Aurora
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
The Strongest
0
0
D
14.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Real Potosí
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
12.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
The Strongest
1
0
W
03.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Jorge Wilstermann
6
1
W
17.10.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Guabirá
3
2
W
25.09.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Always Ready
1
2
L
22.08.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
ABB
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
W
22.07.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
05.07.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
1
D
21.06.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
3
2
W
15.06.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Blooming
2
2
D
17.05.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Independiente Petrolero
3
3
D
04.05.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Aurora
0
0
D
H2H at home: Real Tomayapo
17.07.25
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
1
1
D
21.06.25
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
3
2
W
Last matches: Real Oruro
04.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
ABB
1
4
L
25.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Guabirá
1
4
L
20.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Nacional Potosí
4
1
W
13.05.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Aurora
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Real Potosí
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Bolívar
2
5
L
25.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
1
4
L
10.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fri
Real Oruro
ABB
1
2
L
15.12.25
Pri
Real Oruro
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
5
L
04.12.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Jorge Wilstermann
1
3
L
22.11.25
Pri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
1
2
L
29.09.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Always Ready
0
4
L
22.09.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
2
2
D
13.09.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Oriente Petrolero
0
3
L
08.08.25
Pri
Real Oruro
ABB
2
1
W
14.07.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Nacional Potosí
3
2
W
06.07.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Blooming
2
4
L
21.06.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Real Tomayapo
2
3
L
H2H away: Real Oruro
17.07.25
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
1
1
D
21.06.25
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
3
2
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 3 1 28:6 22 30
D W W W W
2 13 7 6 0 20:12 8 27
W D D D W
3 13 7 3 3 28:13 15 24
W L W W D
4 13 5 7 1 21:15 6 22
D D W D L
5 13 5 5 3 19:10 9 20
W D L W W
6 13 4 6 3 17:14 3 18
D L D W D
7 13 5 3 5 22:26 -4 18
W D W L W
8 13 5 2 6 17:18 -1 17
L W W D L
9 13 4 4 5 19:20 -1 16
D W L L L
10 13 5 1 7 24:28 -4 16
W D L L W
11 13 4 3 6 19:19 0 15
L L W L D
12 13 4 2 7 15:23 -8 14
D W L W L
13 13 4 2 7 23:34 -11 14
L L L W L
14 13 2 6 5 12:18 -6 12
D D W D D
15 13 3 2 8 17:25 -8 11
L D L L L
16 13 2 3 8 9:29 -20 9
L D L L W