17.09.2026 22:30
Estadio IV Centenario

Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.6%
Odds 2.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.6%
2.67
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.63
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
91.8%
1.36
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Real Tomayapo Win 26.6%
Draw 4.8%
Oriente Petrolero Win 68.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Tomayapo1.07
Oriente Petrolero2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo
WWDLW
17 GF / 45 GA
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero
WLDWL
42 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.91
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
12
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
17
1.95
Shots on Goal
2.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 21 matches
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 22 matches
Real Tomayapo Statistic Oriente Petrolero
4 Wins 10
4 Draws 3
13 Losses 9
17 Goals For 42
45 Goals Against 32
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
12 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 4
1.95 Shots On Goal 2.42
5.11 Total Shots 6.32
1.68 Corners 1.47
20.3% Ball Possession 20.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Oriente Petrolero's more proactive style and Real Tomayapo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Tomayapo expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Oriente Petrolero in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oriente Petrolero having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Oriente Petrolero. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Oriente Petrolero carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 27 points while Real Tomayapo sit 14 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Real Tomayapo Analysis

With 16 points from 18 games and a place of 14, Real Tomayapo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats with a 14:35 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Eguez (2 goals), L. Corulo (1 goals), with creative support from D. Ramallo (1 assists), Agustín Verdugo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oriente Petrolero Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 27 points from 18 games, Oriente Petrolero bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:25, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Flores (1 goals), N. Nacif (1 goals), A. Peña (1 goals), with creative support from J. Berdecio (2 assists), L. Vaca (1 assists), N. Roldán (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Real Tomayapo won 3 times, Oriente Petrolero won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:31 from Real Tomayapo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Real Tomayapo 4-3-2-1 / Oriente Petrolero 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Real Tomayapo wins 3, draws 2, Oriente Petrolero wins 9

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W D D D
2 19 13 3 3 50:20 30 42
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
6 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
7 19 8 3 8 34:27 7 27
L L D W W
8 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
W W L W W
9 19 6 8 5 29:21 8 26
W L D D W
10 19 7 4 8 26:32 -6 25
L L W L W
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12 20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 19 5 2 12 25:38 -13 17
W L W L L
14 19 5 2 12 18:39 -21 17
L L L L L
15 19 4 4 11 15:37 -22 16
L L W D W
16 19 2 8 9 19:33 -14 14
L L D D L