SPAIN SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Anoeta
Referee: J. Sanchez
Real Sociedad II
Match Timeline
Mirandes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Juan Gutiérrez
Mirandes
🟨
11'
Alberto Dadie
Real Sociedad II
17'
F. Medrano
Mirandes
45'
L. Beitia · Assist: A. Marchal
Real Sociedad II
49'
R. Bauza · Assist: H. Novoa Ramos
Mirandes
🟨
54'
Hugo Novoa
Mirandes
🔄
57'
H. Novoa Ramos ↔ P. Perez
Mirandes
🔄
61'
A. Marchal ↔ D. Diaz
Real Sociedad II
🔄
61'
A. Mariezkurrena ↔ G. Carrera
Real Sociedad II
🔄
61'
L. Beitia ↔ A. Unax
Real Sociedad II
🔄
67'
A. Lebarbier ↔ J. Eceizabarrena
Real Sociedad II
🔄
71'
A. Houary ↔ A. Martin Luis
Mirandes
🔄
81'
U. del Cura ↔ M. Malsa
Mirandes
🔄
81'
S. El Jebari ↔ I. Cordoba
Mirandes
🔄
82'
G. Gorosabel ↔ J. Gorosabel
Real Sociedad II
90'
D. Diaz · Assist: A. Dadie Izagirre
Real Sociedad II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Sociedad II Win 50.3%
Draw 20.1%
Mirandes Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad II1.4
Mirandes1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
WWDLW
48 GF / 55 GA
Mirandes Mirandes
WLDWL
43 GF / 68 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
19
BTTS Yes
26
17
Over 2.5
22
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 39 matches
Mirandes Mirandes 41 matches
Real Sociedad II Statistic Mirandes
12 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
18 Losses 22
48 Goals For 43
55 Goals Against 68
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
19 BTTS Yes 26
26 Over 1.5 32
17 Over 2.5 22
9 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 3
13 Failed To Score 14
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.03
12.67 Total Shots 12.13
3.64 Corners 4.3
43.5% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Sociedad II expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Mirandes in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mirandes having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mirandes. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mirandes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Real Sociedad II Analysis

Real Sociedad II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 45 points from 39 matches. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 48:55 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gorka Carrera Zarranz (14 goals), J. Ochieng (9 goals), L. Astiazaran (6 goals), with creative support from G. Gorosabel (6 assists), L. Astiazaran (4 assists), Gorka Carrera Zarranz (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mirandes Analysis

Mirandes sit 20 with 36 points after 39 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 21 losses, together with goals at 42:65, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Fernandez (16 goals), G. Petit (7 goals), J. Hernandez (6 goals), with creative support from S. El Jebari (4 assists), Fernando Medrano (3 assists), Marino Illescas (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Real Sociedad II won 0 times, Mirandes won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Real Sociedad II's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: Real Sociedad II 4-4-2 / Mirandes 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Real Sociedad II wins 0, draws 3, Mirandes wins 3

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
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