04.10.2026 12:00
Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta
Referee: Andres Fuentes Molina
Real Sociedad II
Live Timeline
Granada CF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Diego Hormigo
Granada CF
⚽
28'
Gorka Gorosabel · Assist: Lander Astiazarán
Real Sociedad II
⚽
29'
Gorka Carrera Zarranz · Assist: Dani Diaz
Real Sociedad II
🟨
35'
Benedikt Gimber
Granada CF

Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.2%
Odds 3.02
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.08
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.2%
3.02 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.08 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.1%
1.30 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Sociedad II Win 9.9%
Draw 18.8%
Granada CF Win 71.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad II1.22
Granada CF1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
WWDLW
14 GF / 17 GA
Granada CF Granada CF
WLDWL
22 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
3.14
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 12 matches
Granada CF Granada CF 14 matches
Real Sociedad II Statistic Granada CF
3 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
7 Losses 5
14 Goals For 22
17 Goals Against 18
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
6 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 3
3.14 Shots On Goal 4.57
9.86 Total Shots 16.29
3.71 Corners 5.57
39.1% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Granada CF. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Granada CF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Sociedad II expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Granada CF in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Granada CF having the stronger overall control.

Real Sociedad II Analysis

Real Sociedad II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 8 points from 7 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 9:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gorka Gorosabel (2 goals), Dani Díaz (1 goals), Rupérez (1 goals), with creative support from Dani Díaz (2 assists), Gorka Gorosabel (1 assists), Rupérez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Granada CF Analysis

Granada CF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 8 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 10:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Alejandro Marqués (2 goals), Manu Lama (1 goals), Pedro Alemañ (1 goals), with creative support from Manu Lama (2 assists), Gumbau (1 assists), Sergio López (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Real Sociedad II won 0 times, Granada CF won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:7 from Real Sociedad II's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Real Sociedad II 4-4-2 / Granada CF 4-3-3
H2H summary: Real Sociedad II wins 0, draws 0, Granada CF wins 2

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 7 6 1 0 14:2 12 19
W W W W W
3 8 6 0 2 13:5 8 18
W W W W W
4 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
5 7 4 1 2 14:8 6 13
W W L W W
6 7 4 1 2 8:3 5 13
L W W D W
7 7 3 3 1 8:6 2 12
D W L W W
8 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
9 7 3 2 2 8:9 -1 11
D L W D L
10 8 3 2 3 6:11 -5 11
L L W L D
11 7 3 1 3 10:11 -1 10
L L W D L
12 7 3 1 3 5:6 -1 10
L W L L W
13 7 2 2 3 10:11 -1 8
L L D L W
14 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
L L W D D
15 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
W L L W D
16 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
D L L W L
17 7 2 2 3 6:9 -3 8
W D L W D
18 8 1 4 3 11:10 1 7
W D L L L
19 7 2 0 5 12:15 -3 6
W L L L L
20 7 2 0 5 10:16 -6 6
L W L L L
21 7 1 1 5 6:17 -11 4
W D L L L
22 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L D L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation