SPAIN SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
03.05.2026 16:30
Anoeta
Referee: M. Orellana
Real Sociedad II
Match Timeline
Burgos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Ibai Aguirre
Real Sociedad II
🔄
46'
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros ↔ V. Mollejo
Burgos
🟨
55'
Íñigo Cordoba
Burgos
🟨
68'
Mikel Rodriguez
Real Sociedad II
🔄
69'
I. Aguirre ↔ G. Gorosabel
Real Sociedad II
🔄
69'
J. Ochieng ↔ A. Marchal
Real Sociedad II
🔄
72'
I. Morante ↔ P. Galdames
Burgos
🔄
73'
Curro ↔ K. Appin
Burgos
🟨
80'
Tomy Carbonell
Real Sociedad II
🔄
83'
L. Astiazaran ↔ D. Diaz
Real Sociedad II
🔄
83'
G. Carrera ↔ A. Mariezkurrena
Real Sociedad II
🟨
85'
Pablo Galdames
Burgos
🟨
88'
Gorka Gorosabel
Real Sociedad II
🔄
90+1'
J. Balda ↔ U. Agote
Real Sociedad II

Real Sociedad II vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Sociedad II Win 15.8%
Draw 4.4%
Burgos Win 79.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad II1.1
Burgos1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
WWDLW
46 GF / 54 GA
Burgos Burgos
WLDWL
50 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
18
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
15
4.35
Shots on Goal
2.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 37 matches
Burgos Burgos 41 matches
Real Sociedad II Statistic Burgos
11 Wins 20
8 Draws 10
18 Losses 11
46 Goals For 50
54 Goals Against 37
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
18 BTTS Yes 18
25 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 15
12 Failed To Score 13
4.35 Shots On Goal 2.95
12.51 Total Shots 9.37
3.59 Corners 3.61
43.5% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Burgos's more proactive style and Real Sociedad II's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Burgos carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 61 points while Real Sociedad II sit 17 on 41, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Burgos. Real Sociedad II have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Real Sociedad II Analysis

Real Sociedad II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 41 points from 37 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 18 defeats with a 46:54 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Gorka Carrera Zarranz (14 goals), J. Ochieng (8 goals), L. Astiazaran (5 goals), with creative support from G. Gorosabel (6 assists), Gorka Carrera Zarranz (3 assists), L. Astiazaran (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Burgos Analysis

From their first 37 matches, Burgos have collected 61 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, while the 44:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Gonzalez Ballesteros (9 goals), F. Nino (7 goals), Curro (6 goals), with creative support from D. Gonzalez Ballesteros (5 assists), Curro (4 assists), Iván Morante (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Real Sociedad II 4-4-2 / Burgos 4-4-2

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
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