Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.4%
|
2.13 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.69 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
Real Salt Lake
New York City FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Real Salt Lake
27 matches
New York City FC
29 matches
| Real Salt Lake | Statistic | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 10 | Losses | 11 |
| 47 | Goals For | 43 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.39 | Shots On Goal | 4.75 |
| 14.13 | Total Shots | 11.67 |
| 4.65 | Corners | 3.83 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Salt Lake expected to line up in 3-4-3 and New York City FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New York City FC having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward New York City FC. Real Salt Lake have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Real Salt Lake approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 28 points from 21 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 34:33, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through S. Solans (4 goals), Zavier Gozo (4 goals), D. Luna (4 goals), with creative support from S. Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), D. Luna (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
New York City FC sit 7 with 29 points after 23 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 36:31 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Fernández Mercau (9 goals), A. Ojeda (3 goals), Hannes Wolf (3 goals), with creative support from A. Ojeda (4 assists), N. Fernández Mercau (3 assists), Hannes Wolf (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake won 4 times, New York City FC won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:18 from Real Salt Lake's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.56 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53:23 | 30 | 46 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:35 | 7 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 40 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 30 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Real Salt Lake
Home
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 29 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26:59 | -33 | 18 |
W
L
L
L
D
|