🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
27.09.2026 01:30
America First Field

Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Salt Lake Win 12.5%
Draw 4.8%
New England Revolution Win 82.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Salt Lake1.49
New England Revolution1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WWDLW
47 GF / 48 GA
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WLDWL
61 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.97
1.66
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
22
BTTS Yes
21
20
Over 2.5
22
5.32
Shots on Goal
4.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 29 matches
New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 matches
Real Salt Lake Statistic New England Revolution
10 Wins 16
7 Draws 5
12 Losses 10
47 Goals For 61
48 Goals Against 40
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.97
1.66 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
22 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 26
20 Over 2.5 22
10 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
5.32 Shots On Goal 4.85
14.08 Total Shots 12.38
4.92 Corners 4.5
49.5% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around New England Revolution's more proactive style and Real Salt Lake's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. New England Revolution carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 43 points while Real Salt Lake sit 11 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Real Salt Lake have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring New England Revolution. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Salt Lake expected to line up in 3-4-3 and New England Revolution in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New England Revolution having the stronger overall control.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 29 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 37:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Sergi Solans (4 goals), Zavier Gozo (4 goals), D. Luna (4 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), D. Luna (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 43 points after 25 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a 41:31 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Carles Gil (11 goals), Peyton Miller (5 goals), Dor Turgeman (4 goals), with creative support from Dor Turgeman (6 assists), Carles Gil (3 assists), Matt Polster (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake won 6 times, New England Revolution won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Real Salt Lake's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Real Salt Lake 3-4-3 / New England Revolution 4-3-3
H2H summary: Real Salt Lake wins 6, draws 2, New England Revolution wins 2

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)