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16.08.2026 01:30
America First Field
Referee: R. Vazquez
Real Salt Lake
Match Timeline
Minnesota United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Zach Booth
Real Salt Lake
🔄
15'
Z. Booth ↔ D. Marczuk
Real Salt Lake
🟨
32'
Jefferson Díaz
Minnesota United FC
🔄
46'
K. Duncan ↔ B. Hlongwane
Minnesota United FC
🟨
56'
Lineker Rodrigues
Real Salt Lake
🔄
60'
Lineker Rodrigues ↔ S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake
🔄
71'
J. Diaz ↔ C. Harvey
Minnesota United FC
🔄
71'
M. Dieng ↔ K. Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
🔄
71'
T. Chancalay ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
⚽
82'
S. Solans · Assist: D. Luna
Real Salt Lake
🔄
86'
D. Luna ↔ A. Hezarkhani
Real Salt Lake
🔄
86'
S. Solans ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
🔄
87'
W. Trapp ↔ M. Caldeira
Minnesota United FC
⚽
89'
J. Pereyra · Assist: M. Caldeira
Minnesota United FC
🟨
90+4'
Stijn Spierings
Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Salt Lake Win 59.3%
Draw 3.8%
Minnesota United FC Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Salt Lake1.63
Minnesota United FC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
D L L W D
8 GF / 8 GA
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
D D L D L
4 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
17
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
11
5.53
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 21 matches
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 21 matches
Real Salt Lake Statistic Minnesota United FC
10 Wins 7
5 Draws 7
6 Losses 7
39 Goals For 24
31 Goals Against 27
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
17 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 6
5.53 Shots On Goal 4.83
15 Total Shots 13.22
4.71 Corners 5.44
49.2% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Real Salt Lake's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Minnesota United FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Salt Lake expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 27 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 29:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Zavier Gozo (4 goals), Sergi Solans (3 goals), Diego Luna (3 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), Juan Sanabria (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC are currently 10 in the standings with 24 points from 18 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kelvin Yeboah (6 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (4 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake won 1 times, Minnesota United FC won 3 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Real Salt Lake's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Real Salt Lake 3-4-1-2 / Minnesota United FC 3-4-3
Missing players: Real Salt Lake 4, Minnesota United FC 4
H2H summary: Real Salt Lake wins 1, draws 10, Minnesota United FC wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 16 7 8 63:32 31 55
L W D D L
2 31 15 9 7 58:47 11 54
W D W L W
3 31 14 9 8 56:44 12 51
L L D W W
4 31 13 9 9 52:45 7 48
L D D D W
5 31 13 9 9 41:39 2 48
D D D D L
6 32 12 11 9 50:35 15 47
D D W D L
7 31 11 10 10 41:39 2 43
D D L W W
8 31 12 6 13 42:41 1 42
W D D D L
9 32 10 11 11 45:54 -9 41
D D W L W
10 31 11 6 14 48:48 0 39
W W D L W
11 31 10 7 14 54:58 -4 37
W D L D L
12 31 8 11 12 55:58 -3 35
D D D L D
13 31 8 11 12 47:55 -8 35
D W D D L
14 31 8 10 13 40:57 -17 34
W L L L D
15 31 6 4 21 37:77 -40 22
L L L D L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)