🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
23.04.2026 01:30
Rio Tinto Stadium
Referee: Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA
Real Salt Lake
Match Timeline
Inter Miami
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
42'
Noah Allen
Inter Miami
🟨
43'
DeAndre Yedlin
Real Salt Lake
🟨
45+4'
Stijn Spierings
Real Salt Lake
🟨
58'
Diego Luna
Real Salt Lake
🟨
58'
Micael
Inter Miami
🔄
61'
A. Katranis ↔ J. Sanabria
Real Salt Lake
🟨
65'
Telasco Segovia
Inter Miami
🔄
71'
N. Allen ↔ I. Fray
Inter Miami
🔄
75'
T. Allende ↔ L. Suarez
Inter Miami
🔄
81'
S. Solans ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
82'
R. de Paul · Assist: T. Segovia
Inter Miami
83'
L. Suarez · Assist: G. Berterame
Inter Miami
🔄
85'
S. Spierings ↔ A. Hezarkhani
Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake vs Inter Miami Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 96.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 92.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
96.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
92.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Real Salt Lake Win 49.4%
Draw 8.8%
Inter Miami Win 41.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Salt Lake1.95
Inter Miami1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WWDLW
22 GF / 15 GA
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WLDWL
23 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
11
6.14
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 10 matches
Inter Miami Inter Miami 14 matches
Real Salt Lake Statistic Inter Miami
6 Wins 6
3 Draws 6
1 Losses 2
22 Goals For 23
15 Goals Against 22
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
9 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
6.14 Shots On Goal 5.2
17 Total Shots 13.4
5 Corners 5
45.3% Ball Possession 57.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Real Salt Lake appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Inter Miami. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Salt Lake expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Inter Miami in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter Miami having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Inter Miami. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Real Salt Lake come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 16 points after 7 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 12:8, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Solans (5 goals), A. Hezarkhani (2 goals), D. Luna (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Gozo (2 assists), M. Guilavogui (2 assists), J. Sanabria (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Eneli, A. Piol, J. J. Arias unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Inter Miami Analysis

Inter Miami arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 15 points after 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 13:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Messi (7 goals), G. Berterame (2 goals), M. Silvetti (2 goals), with creative support from Telasco Segovia (3 assists), M. Silvetti (2 assists), Rodrigo de Paul (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with S. Reguilon, D. Ayala, Y. Bright unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake won 0 times, Inter Miami won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Real Salt Lake's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1 / Inter Miami 4-4-2
Missing players: Real Salt Lake 7, Inter Miami 4
H2H summary: Real Salt Lake wins 0, draws 0, Inter Miami wins 2

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 4 4 48:18 30 43
W W L W D
2 22 12 3 7 30:26 4 39
D L W W W
3 23 10 6 7 36:22 14 36
D D L L D
4 22 10 4 8 39:33 6 34
D L L L L
5 22 9 7 6 41:37 4 34
D L W W D
6 22 9 7 6 33:30 3 34
D W D W D
7 22 10 1 11 31:28 3 31
W L W W W
8 22 8 6 8 40:33 7 30
W W L W D
9 22 7 8 7 30:32 -2 29
D W L D D
10 21 8 4 9 34:33 1 28
L L L D D
11 22 8 4 10 39:39 0 28
L D W L W
12 21 7 5 9 24:29 -5 26
D D L L L
13 23 6 8 9 28:35 -7 26
L D W L D
14 22 6 6 10 28:41 -13 24
W D W L L
15 22 4 3 15 20:54 -34 15
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)