Login Register
03.10.2026 18:00
Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza
Real Pilar
Match Timeline
Villa Dalmine
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
D. Vergara
Real Pilar
🟨
16'
N. Agorreca
Villa Dalmine
⚽
23'
C. Broggi
Real Pilar
🟨
35'
F. Pansardi
Real Pilar
🔄
46'
M. Morales ↔ E. Ramon
Villa Dalmine
🔄
46'
V. Gargiulo ↔ M. Paez
Villa Dalmine
🔄
61'
V. Mancini ↔ J. Cesar
Real Pilar
🔄
68'
A. Nievas ↔ M. Britos
Villa Dalmine
🔄
68'
P. Oro ↔ G. Resquin
Villa Dalmine
🟨
71'
F. Garzino
Villa Dalmine
🟨
74'
M. Paez
Villa Dalmine
🔄
75'
D. Vergara ↔ D. Achucarro
Real Pilar
🔄
77'
F. Garzino ↔ G. Torres
Villa Dalmine
🟨
80'
E. Ramon
Villa Dalmine
🟨
82'
L. Gamba
Villa Dalmine
🔄
85'
E. Rodriguez ↔ I. Smith
Real Pilar
🔄
85'
E. Franco ↔ D. Gonzalez
Real Pilar
🔄
85'
B. Martin ↔ R. Aguilar
Real Pilar

Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Pilar Win 58%
Draw 5.6%
Villa Dalmine Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Pilar0.86
Villa Dalmine1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Pilar Real Pilar
WWDLW
40 GF / 41 GA
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine
WLDWL
38 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
19
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Pilar Real Pilar 38 matches
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine 37 matches
Real Pilar Statistic Villa Dalmine
16 Wins 17
10 Draws 13
12 Losses 7
40 Goals For 38
41 Goals Against 21
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
19 BTTS Yes 11
26 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 20
12 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Villa Dalmine. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villa Dalmine having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Real Pilar Analysis

So far, Real Pilar have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 58 points from 36 matches. The record of 16 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 40:35 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Villa Dalmine Analysis

Villa Dalmine arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 63 points after 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 12 draws, and 7 losses, while the 38:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Real Pilar won 0 times, Villa Dalmine won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Real Pilar's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Real Pilar wins 0, draws 3, Villa Dalmine wins 0

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 39 23 8 8 63:30 33 77
W L W W W
2 39 20 12 7 53:26 27 72
W L W L W
3 39 19 11 9 47:29 18 68
W W W D L
4 39 19 11 9 41:24 17 68
D L W D L
5 39 17 14 8 39:24 15 65
D L D W L
6 39 17 13 9 44:30 14 64
D L L L L
7 39 17 10 12 42:38 4 61
D W W W W
8 39 17 10 12 42:39 3 61
L W L W W
9 39 14 14 11 39:34 5 56
D D D W D
10 39 13 13 13 47:51 -4 52
D W L L D
11 39 12 14 13 40:44 -4 50
L W L W W
12 39 11 14 14 40:43 -3 47
L L W D L
13 39 11 14 14 37:43 -6 47
L W W D D
14 39 10 15 14 37:52 -15 45
D D L W L
15 39 11 11 17 34:41 -7 44
L L L W L
16 39 9 17 13 32:39 -7 44
D D D D W
17 39 10 14 15 32:40 -8 44
D W L L W
18 39 9 15 15 25:37 -12 42
W D W D L
19 39 11 9 19 35:48 -13 42
W D L L W
20 39 9 14 16 33:40 -7 41
L D W L W
21 39 6 20 13 22:35 -13 38
W W D L L
22 39 1 13 25 27:64 -37 16
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)