ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
--.--.---- --:--
Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza
Real Pilar
Match Timeline
Brown DE Adrogue
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
V. Gelos
Real Pilar
44'
F. Pansardi
Real Pilar
🔄
46'
J. Bogado ↔ A. Ortiz
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
46'
J. Silva ↔ M. Sproat
Brown DE Adrogue
🟨
50'
E. Robles
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
59'
M. Rojas ↔ F. Abre
Real Pilar
🔄
68'
G. Isola ↔ D. Leguiza
Real Pilar
🔄
68'
B. Martin ↔ D. Vergara
Real Pilar
🔄
68'
E. Robles ↔ A. Castano
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
68'
B. Guerrero ↔ B. Lopez
Brown DE Adrogue
🟨
78'
D. Gonzalez
Real Pilar
🔄
78'
M. Crocco ↔ N. Rios
Real Pilar
🔄
78'
M. D. Riquelme ↔ E. Rodriguez
Real Pilar
🟨
82'
N. Rios
Real Pilar
🔄
84'
L. Cesare ↔ V. Galeano
Brown DE Adrogue
🟨
90+1'
F. Ferrario
Brown DE Adrogue

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.7%
Odds 2.18
BTTS
No
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.7%
2.18
BTTS No
70.3%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.34
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.49
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Real Pilar Win 74.7%
Draw 5.8%
Brown DE Adrogue Win 19.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Pilar1.05
Brown DE Adrogue0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Pilar Real Pilar
WWDLW
34 GF / 34 GA
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
WLDWL
20 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.65
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
17
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Pilar Real Pilar 32 matches
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue 31 matches
Real Pilar Statistic Brown DE Adrogue
13 Wins 7
9 Draws 11
10 Losses 13
34 Goals For 20
34 Goals Against 32
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.65
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
17 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Real Pilar's more proactive style and Brown DE Adrogue's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Brown DE Adrogue. Real Pilar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 45 points compared to Brown DE Adrogue in 18 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brown DE Adrogue having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Real Pilar Analysis

Real Pilar are currently 7 in the standings with 45 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, while the 33:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Brown DE Adrogue Analysis

Brown DE Adrogue approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 31 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 19:31 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Real Pilar won 1 times, Brown DE Adrogue won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Real Pilar's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
H2H summary: Real Pilar wins 1, draws 3, Brown DE Adrogue wins 0

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 49:27 22 62
L W W W L
2 33 16 12 5 44:22 22 60
W W D L D
3 33 16 12 5 39:20 19 60
D W D D W
4 33 16 12 5 35:16 19 60
D D W W L
5 33 17 9 7 35:17 18 60
W D L W L
6 33 15 10 8 38:25 13 55
W L L W W
7 33 14 10 9 37:32 5 52
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 35:37 -2 47
W L L W W
9 33 12 10 11 39:42 -3 46
D W L L D
10 33 10 13 10 38:34 4 43
W W D L W
11 32 11 10 11 32:31 1 43
L W D L D
12 33 10 11 12 30:32 -2 41
D L D D W
13 33 9 13 11 31:36 -5 40
L W L D L
14 32 9 12 11 34:47 -13 39
L D D L D
15 33 9 11 13 34:38 -4 38
L W W W W
16 33 8 13 12 28:35 -7 37
L L L W D
17 33 8 12 13 25:33 -8 36
D W L L W
18 33 9 8 16 28:39 -11 35
W L W D D
19 33 7 12 14 28:36 -8 33
D W W L L
20 33 7 12 14 21:35 -14 33
D L D L W
21 33 3 19 11 15:29 -14 28
L L D L D
22 33 1 11 21 19:51 -32 14
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)