19.09.2026 20:00
Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza

Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.4%
-
BTTS No
61.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Pilar Win 36.5%
Draw 17.1%
Arsenal Sarandi Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Pilar0.89
Arsenal Sarandi1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Pilar Real Pilar
WWDLW
38 GF / 37 GA
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi
WLDWL
47 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
18
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Pilar Real Pilar 36 matches
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 35 matches
Real Pilar Statistic Arsenal Sarandi
15 Wins 18
10 Draws 12
11 Losses 5
38 Goals For 47
37 Goals Against 22
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
18 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 18
11 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arsenal Sarandi having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arsenal Sarandi. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Pilar Analysis

So far, Real Pilar have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 52 points from 34 matches. The record of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 37:34 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Arsenal Sarandi Analysis

Arsenal Sarandi approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 63 points after 34 outings. With 17 wins, 12 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:22, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Real Pilar won 0 times, Arsenal Sarandi won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Real Pilar's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
H2H summary: Real Pilar wins 0, draws 0, Arsenal Sarandi wins 1

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 20 8 7 54:28 26 68
W W L W W
2 35 18 12 5 47:22 25 66
W W W W D
3 35 17 12 6 41:22 19 63
L W D W D
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 35 16 12 7 35:20 15 60
L L D D W
6 35 16 10 9 41:27 14 58
L W W L L
7 35 15 10 10 38:34 4 55
W L D W W
8 35 14 9 12 36:37 -1 51
W D W L L
9 35 13 11 11 36:33 3 50
D W W L W
10 35 12 12 11 42:45 -3 48
D D D W L
11 35 10 14 11 33:36 -3 44
W D L W L
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 35 8 13 14 31:36 -5 37
W D D W W
20 35 7 13 15 21:37 -16 34
L D D L D
21 35 4 19 12 17:31 -14 31
L W L L D
22 35 1 12 22 22:55 -33 15
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)