BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Oruro Win 31%
Draw 20.2%
Bolívar Win 48.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Oruro1.57
Bolívar2.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Oruro Real Oruro
WWDLW
37 GF / 49 GA
Bolívar Bolívar
WLDWL
43 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.95
2.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
18
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
12
2.62
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Oruro Real Oruro 20 matches
Bolívar Bolívar 22 matches
Real Oruro Statistic Bolívar
7 Wins 10
3 Draws 6
10 Losses 6
37 Goals For 43
49 Goals Against 25
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
2.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
18 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 19
18 Over 2.5 12
13 Over 3.5 7
0 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 3
2.62 Shots On Goal 4.78
7.77 Total Shots 11.5
2.69 Corners 3.72
23.5% Ball Possession 40.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bolívar's more proactive style and Real Oruro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bolívar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Real Oruro sit 11 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bolívar. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bolívar having the stronger overall control. Bolívar look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Real Oruro Analysis

Real Oruro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 17 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 27:38 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bolívar Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 30 points from 15 games, Bolívar bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 36:16, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Real Oruro won 1 times, Bolívar won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Real Oruro's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
H2H summary: Real Oruro wins 1, draws 0, Bolívar wins 2
Last matches: Real Oruro
15.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Oriente Petrolero
2
3
L
07.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Real Tomayapo
2
1
W
04.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
ABB
1
4
L
01.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
0
3
L
25.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Guabirá
1
4
L
20.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Nacional Potosí
4
1
W
14.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Always Ready
0
6
L
11.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3
1
W
08.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
4
1
W
13.05.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Aurora
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Real Potosí
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
2
3
L
23.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Blooming
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Bolívar
2
5
L
25.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
1
4
L
10.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
4
3
W
27.02.26
Fri
Real Oruro
ABB
3
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Real Oruro
ABB
1
2
L
Last matches: Bolívar
15.08.26
Pri
Bolívar
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
4
1
W
08.08.26
Pri
Bolívar
Aurora
4
2
W
06.08.26
Pri
Bolívar
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Bolívar
Always Ready
0
1
L
26.07.26
Pri
Bolívar
Real Potosí
2
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Bolívar
Guabirá
4
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Bolívar
The Strongest
1
1
D
28.05.26
CON
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
1
3
L
19.05.26
CON
Bolívar
Fluminense
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
2
3
L
14.05.26
Pri
Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Bolívar
Blooming
0
0
D
06.05.26
CON
Bolívar
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Bolívar
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
W
30.04.26
CON
Bolívar
Fluminense
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Bolívar
Real Tomayapo
6
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Bolívar
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
15.04.26
CON
Bolívar
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Bolívar
ABB
2
0
W
07.04.26
CON
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
0
1
L
H2H: Real Oruro vs Bolívar
03.04.26
H2H
Bolívar
Real Oruro
5
2
L
02.08.25
H2H
Real Oruro
Bolívar
3
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Bolívar
Real Oruro
3
1
L
Last matches: Real Oruro
15.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Oriente Petrolero
2
3
L
01.08.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
0
3
L
14.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Always Ready
0
6
L
11.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3
1
W
08.07.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
4
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
2
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
Real Oruro
Blooming
2
2
D
07.03.26
Fri
Real Oruro
Universitario de Vinto
4
3
W
27.02.26
Fri
Real Oruro
ABB
3
1
W
11.12.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Nacional Potosí
1
2
L
06.12.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Blooming
10
1
W
28.11.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Real Tomayapo
5
2
W
01.11.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
1
D
26.09.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Guabirá
3
6
L
17.09.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Aurora
5
3
W
24.08.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero
3
4
L
02.08.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Bolívar
3
1
W
20.07.25
Pri
Real Oruro
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0
2
L
30.06.25
Pri
Real Oruro
Jorge Wilstermann
3
1
W
14.06.25
Pri
Real Oruro
The Strongest
1
2
L
H2H at home: Real Oruro
02.08.25
H2H
Real Oruro
Bolívar
3
1
W
Last matches: Bolívar
08.08.26
Pri
Bolívar
Aurora
4
2
W
02.08.26
Pri
Bolívar
Always Ready
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Bolívar
The Strongest
1
1
D
19.05.26
CON
Bolívar
Fluminense
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
2
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Bolívar
Blooming
0
0
D
06.05.26
CON
Bolívar
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Bolívar
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Bolívar
ABB
2
0
W
07.04.26
CON
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
0
1
L
25.01.26
Fri
Bolívar
Cienciano
1
1
D
14.12.25
Pri
Bolívar
Oriente Petrolero
3
1
W
07.12.25
Pri
Bolívar
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pri
Bolívar
The Strongest
3
2
W
23.11.25
Pri
Bolívar
Always Ready
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pri
Bolívar
Blooming
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
Bolívar
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Bolívar
Jorge Wilstermann
2
2
D
06.08.25
Pri
Bolívar
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
0
W
02.08.25
Pri
Bolívar
Real Oruro
1
3
L
H2H away: Bolívar
02.08.25
H2H
Real Oruro
Bolívar
3
1
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 10 4 1 32:9 23 34
D W D W W
2 15 9 3 3 36:16 20 30
W W W L W
3 15 7 6 2 22:17 5 27
L L W D D
4 15 6 6 3 22:11 11 24
D W W D L
5 15 7 3 5 26:27 -1 24
W W W D W
6 15 7 2 6 25:20 5 23
W W L W W
7 15 5 7 3 23:22 1 22
L L D D W
8 15 6 4 5 22:21 1 22
W W D W L
9 15 5 6 4 20:16 4 21
W L D L D
10 15 5 3 7 22:21 1 18
W L L L W
11 15 5 2 8 18:28 -10 17
L W D W L
12 15 5 2 8 27:38 -11 17
L W L L L
13 15 5 1 9 24:31 -7 16
L L W D L
14 15 2 6 7 14:22 -8 12
L L D D W
15 15 3 3 9 11:31 -20 12
W L L D L
16 15 3 2 10 17:31 -14 11
L L L D L